Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 01/08, 00:30

Prediction: Fernando de la Mora vs 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

Team pages: Fernando de la Mora · 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.43Total

Fernando de la Mora1.06

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes1.37

1X2

28% 29% 43%

Fernando de la Mora Draw 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Fernando de la Mora 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Fernando de la Mora 1–2–2 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes (5 last)

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes2-0Fernando de la Mora
Fernando de la Mora0-012 de Junio de Villa Hayes
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes2-1Fernando de la Mora
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes1-1Fernando de la Mora
Fernando de la Mora2-012 de Junio de Villa Hayes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fernando de la Mora 1502 · 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 1571

	Fernando de la Mora	Draw	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes
Our model	28%	30%	43%
Market	28%	29%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes (rating 1502 vs 1571).
H2H favours 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes: 2-2-1.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fernando de la Mora	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.7	1.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 6.2	2.4 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.5	6.4 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

13.20

X3.10

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:01 +12’	3.20	3.10	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fernando de la Mora 1–2–2 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	2-0 HT 0-0	Fernando de la Mora
22/09/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Fernando de la Mora	0-0 HT 0-0	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes
14/06/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	2-1 HT 1-0	Fernando de la Mora
17/09/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	1-1 HT 1-0	Fernando de la Mora
08/06/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Fernando de la Mora	2-0 HT 0-0	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	16	11	3	2	23	11	36
2	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	16	9	5	2	27	14	32
3	General Caballero JLM	16	9	3	4	32	22	30
4	Deportivo Santaní	16	8	3	5	22	14	27
5	Sol de America	16	5	9	2	19	14	24
6	Deportivo Capiata	16	5	8	3	22	19	23
7	Club Atlético Tembetary	16	6	4	6	24	22	22
8	Guairena FC	16	6	4	6	18	20	22
9	Independiente FBC	16	5	6	5	24	23	21
10	Resistencia FC	16	5	6	5	17	20	21
11	Carapegua	16	5	4	7	19	29	19
12	Fernando de la Mora	16	5	4	7	18	24	19
13	Tacuary	16	2	9	5	20	24	15
14	Paraguari AC	16	3	4	9	15	22	13
15	Encarnacion FC	16	3	3	10	15	23	12
16	3 de Noviembre	16	0	7	9	13	27	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fernando de la Mora	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes
3 de Noviembre	2-2 D	1-0 W
General Caballero JLM	3-2 W	1-0 W
Guairena FC	1-3 L	1-0 W
Resistencia FC	1-3 L	3-2 W
Sol de America	0-1 L	0-1 L
Deportivo Capiata	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Fernando de la Mora

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
21/07	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-2	2	4	W
15/07	Atletico Colegiales Paraguay Cup	5-0	11-0	14	3	W
10/07	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-2	5	4	D
03/07	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-2	5	9	D
27/06	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-2	1	8	W
06/06	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-3	4	8	L
30/05	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-3	7	6	L
24/05	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	10	4	L
19/05	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-2	5	5	L

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

WDWDLWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/07	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	11	6	W
21/07	29 de Septiembre FBC Paraguay Cup	0-0	1-1	7	9	D
18/07	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	3	8	W
12/07	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
05/07	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	3-1	3-2	5	9	W
28/06	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
07/06	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
30/05	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-1	6	8	W
24/05	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-2	8	5	D
20/05	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	2	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fernando de la Mora vs 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes?

According to our model, the most likely result is an 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes win (43%). Probabilities: Fernando de la Mora 28%, draw 29%, 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 43%.

How many goals are expected in Fernando de la Mora vs 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes?

The model expects 2.43 goals (Fernando de la Mora 1.06 · 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 1.37), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Fernando de la Mora vs 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.