Football · Croatia 1.NL · 30/10, 14:00

Prediction: NK Opatija vs Mladost Zdralovi

Team pages: NK Opatija · Mladost Zdralovi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.25Total

NK Opatija1.14

Mladost Zdralovi1.11

1X2

35% 31% 34%

NK Opatija Draw Mladost Zdralovi

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Opatija 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLWLLLWDWW

Mladost Zdralovi 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWWDWLLWLW

Head-to-head

NK Opatija 1–3–1 Mladost Zdralovi (5 last)

NK Opatija1-0Mladost Zdralovi
Mladost Zdralovi3-1NK Opatija
Mladost Zdralovi1-1NK Opatija
NK Opatija1-1Mladost Zdralovi
Mladost Zdralovi1-1NK Opatija

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Opatija 1502 · Mladost Zdralovi 1519

	NK Opatija	Draw	Mladost Zdralovi
Our model	35%	31%	34%
Market	36%	30%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Opatija	Mladost Zdralovi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.2	1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.7	1.9 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.1	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.00

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
06:03 +3’	2.50	3.00	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Opatija 1–3–1 Mladost Zdralovi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/24 Croatia 2.NL	NK Opatija	1-0 HT 1-0	Mladost Zdralovi
23/09/23 Croatia 2.NL	Mladost Zdralovi	3-1 HT 2-1	NK Opatija
25/03/23 Croatia 2.NL	Mladost Zdralovi	1-1 HT 0-0	NK Opatija
16/09/22 Croatia 2.NL	NK Opatija	1-1 HT 0-0	Mladost Zdralovi
06/06/20 Europe Friendlies	Mladost Zdralovi	1-1 HT 0-1	NK Opatija

Standings · Croatia 1.NL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Croatia Zmijavci	10	6	1	3	15	9	19
2	HNK Segesta	10	5	2	3	16	12	17
3	Bijelo Brdo	10	5	2	3	12	9	17
4	Mladost Zdralovi	10	5	2	3	10	10	17
5	Jadran LP	10	4	4	2	17	13	16
6	HNK Cibalia	10	4	4	2	10	10	16
7	Orijent	10	4	3	3	10	9	15
8	NK Opatija	10	4	2	4	12	12	14
9	Karlovac	10	4	2	4	12	14	14
10	NK Kustosija	10	3	4	3	8	8	13
11	Dinamo Zagreb II	10	4	0	6	14	14	12
12	NK Sesvete	10	3	2	5	10	10	11
13	NK Dubrava Zagreb	10	3	2	5	11	13	11
14	Vukovar 91	10	3	2	5	14	19	11
15	NK Dugopolje	10	2	4	4	14	16	10
16	Hrvace	10	2	2	6	8	15	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Opatija	Mladost Zdralovi
NK Dugopolje	2-1 W	0-0 D
NK Sesvete	1-0 W	1-0 W
NK Kustosija	1-1 D	2-1 W
Vukovar 91	1-0 W	1-1 D
Karlovac	1-2 L	1-0 W
Jadran LP	2-2 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Mladost Zdralovi (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Opatija

DLWLLLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	NK Dugopolje Croatia 1.NL	0-1	2-1	3	3	W
16/10	NK Sesvete Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
09/10	NK Kustosija Croatia 1.NL	0-1	1-1	7	7	D
27/09	Vukovar 91 Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-0	8	5	W
19/09	Orijent Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
11/09	Bijelo Brdo Croatia 1.NL	2-0	2-3	3	5	L
06/09	NK Dubrava Zagreb Croatia 1.NL	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
02/09	Hrvace Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
29/08	Karlovac Croatia 1.NL	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
22/08	Jadran LP Croatia 1.NL	0-1	2-2	1	7	D

Mladost Zdralovi

DWWDWLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Jadran LP Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
18/10	NK Croatia Zmijavci Croatia 1.NL	0-1	1-3	2	6	L
09/10	HNK Cibalia Croatia 1.NL	0-1	2-1	7	5	W
25/09	Dinamo Zagreb II Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-1	7	6	L
18/09	HNK Segesta Croatia 1.NL	1-1	1-3	6	5	L
12/09	Karlovac Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
05/09	NK Dugopolje Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
02/09	NK Sesvete Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
30/08	NK Kustosija Croatia 1.NL	0-0	2-1	6	5	W
21/08	Vukovar 91 Croatia 1.NL	1-1	1-1	4	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Opatija vs Mladost Zdralovi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Opatija win (35%). Probabilities: NK Opatija 35%, draw 31%, Mladost Zdralovi 34%.

How many goals are expected in NK Opatija vs Mladost Zdralovi?

The model expects 2.25 goals (NK Opatija 1.14 · Mladost Zdralovi 1.11), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Opatija vs Mladost Zdralovi?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.