Football · Croatia 1.NL · 30/10, 14:00

Prediction: NK Dubrava Zagreb vs NK Sesvete

Team pages: NK Dubrava Zagreb · NK Sesvete

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.34Total

NK Dubrava Zagreb1.06

NK Sesvete1.28

1X2

30% 30% 41%

NK Dubrava Zagreb Draw NK Sesvete

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Dubrava Zagreb 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLDWDWLLWL

NK Sesvete 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLLDLD

Head-to-head

NK Dubrava Zagreb 1–5 NK Sesvete (6 last)

NK Dubrava Zagreb1-3NK Sesvete
NK Sesvete2-0NK Dubrava Zagreb
NK Dubrava Zagreb0-2NK Sesvete
NK Sesvete2-1NK Dubrava Zagreb
NK Sesvete1-3NK Dubrava Zagreb
NK Sesvete3-0NK Dubrava Zagreb

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Dubrava Zagreb 1454 · NK Sesvete 1493

	NK Dubrava Zagreb	Draw	NK Sesvete
Our model	29%	30%	40%
Market	30%	29%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours NK Sesvete: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Dubrava Zagreb	NK Sesvete
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.3	1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.7	2.1 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0.2	5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.10

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
05:51 +15’	3.00	3.10	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Dubrava Zagreb 1–0–5 NK Sesvete

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Croatia 1.NL	NK Dubrava Zagreb	1-3 HT 0-2	NK Sesvete
03/03/26 Croatia 1.NL	NK Sesvete	2-0 HT 0-0	NK Dubrava Zagreb
26/09/25 Croatia 1.NL	NK Dubrava Zagreb	0-2 HT 0-1	NK Sesvete
16/07/25 Europe Friendlies	NK Sesvete	2-1 HT 1-0	NK Dubrava Zagreb
01/05/25 Croatia 1.NL	NK Sesvete	1-3 HT 1-0	NK Dubrava Zagreb
14/02/25 Croatia 1.NL	NK Sesvete	3-0 HT 2-0	NK Dubrava Zagreb

Standings · Croatia 1.NL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Croatia Zmijavci	10	6	1	3	15	9	19
2	HNK Segesta	10	5	2	3	16	12	17
3	Bijelo Brdo	10	5	2	3	12	9	17
4	Mladost Zdralovi	10	5	2	3	10	10	17
5	Jadran LP	10	4	4	2	17	13	16
6	HNK Cibalia	10	4	4	2	10	10	16
7	Orijent	10	4	3	3	10	9	15
8	NK Opatija	10	4	2	4	12	12	14
9	Karlovac	10	4	2	4	12	14	14
10	NK Kustosija	10	3	4	3	8	8	13
11	Dinamo Zagreb II	10	4	0	6	14	14	12
12	NK Sesvete	10	3	2	5	10	10	11
13	NK Dubrava Zagreb	10	3	2	5	11	13	11
14	Vukovar 91	10	3	2	5	14	19	11
15	NK Dugopolje	10	2	4	4	14	16	10
16	Hrvace	10	2	2	6	8	15	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Dubrava Zagreb	NK Sesvete
Karlovac	1-0 W	3-0 W
Hrvace	0-0 D	0-0 D
NK Opatija	2-1 W	0-1 L
Jadran LP	1-1 D	1-1 D
NK Croatia Zmijavci	1-2 L	0-2 L
HNK Cibalia	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: NK Dubrava Zagreb (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Dubrava Zagreb

LLDWDWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	NK Kustosija Croatia 1.NL	1-2	1-2	6	5	L
17/10	Vukovar 91 Croatia 1.NL	2-1	3-2	2	7	W
10/10	Orijent Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-2	5	5	L
26/09	Bijelo Brdo Croatia 1.NL	0-1	0-1	4	8	L
20/09	Karlovac Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
12/09	Hrvace Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-0	1	8	D
06/09	NK Opatija Croatia 1.NL	1-1	2-1	2	4	W
02/09	Jadran LP Croatia 1.NL	0-1	1-1	7	7	D
28/08	NK Croatia Zmijavci Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-2	3	3	L
22/08	HNK Cibalia Croatia 1.NL	1-2	1-2	4	6	L

NK Sesvete

WLLWWLLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Hrvace Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
16/10	NK Opatija Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
09/10	Jadran LP Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
27/09	NK Croatia Zmijavci Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-2	0	8	L
18/09	HNK Cibalia Croatia 1.NL	1-2	1-2	7	3	L
11/09	Dinamo Zagreb II Croatia 1.NL	2-1	2-1	3	4	W
05/09	HNK Segesta Croatia 1.NL	0-0	2-0	2	8	W
02/09	Mladost Zdralovi Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-1	2	7	L
28/08	NK Dugopolje Croatia 1.NL	1-2	1-2	8	3	L
21/08	Karlovac Croatia 1.NL	0-0	3-0	4	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Dubrava Zagreb vs NK Sesvete?

According to our model, the most likely result is an NK Sesvete win (41%). Probabilities: NK Dubrava Zagreb 30%, draw 30%, NK Sesvete 41%.

How many goals are expected in NK Dubrava Zagreb vs NK Sesvete?

The model expects 2.34 goals (NK Dubrava Zagreb 1.06 · NK Sesvete 1.28), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Dubrava Zagreb vs NK Sesvete?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.