Football · Croatia 1.NL · 06/11, 14:00

Prediction: NK Kustosija vs Orijent

Team pages: NK Kustosija · Orijent

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.21Total
NK Kustosija1.32
Orijent0.89
1X2
46% 29% 25%
NK Kustosija Draw Orijent
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
NK Kustosija 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LDLDWLDWWW
Orijent 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WDDLWLWDWW
Head-to-head
NK Kustosija 1–1–4 Orijent (6 last)
  • Orijent2-1NK Kustosija
  • NK Kustosija1-2Orijent
  • Orijent2-0NK Kustosija
  • NK Kustosija0-0Orijent
  • Orijent1-0NK Kustosija
  • NK Kustosija2-1Orijent
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Kustosija 1516 · Orijent 1536
NK KustosijaDrawOrijent
Our model45%31%24%
Market47%28%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Orijent: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

NK KustosijaOrijent
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.91.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.40.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/70/10%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 3.71.3 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.2 / 0.24.1 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Kustosija 1–1–4 Orijent

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/06/24
Croatia 1.HNL Play-Offs
Orijent2-1
HT 1-0
NK Kustosija
09/06/24
Croatia 1.HNL Play-Offs
NK Kustosija1-2
HT 1-1
Orijent
05/05/23
Croatia 1.NL
Orijent2-0
HT 0-0
NK Kustosija
08/03/23
Croatia 1.NL
NK Kustosija0-0
HT 0-0
Orijent
30/09/22
Croatia 1.NL
Orijent1-0
HT 1-0
NK Kustosija
23/04/22
Croatia 1.NL
NK Kustosija2-1
HT 0-0
Orijent

Standings · Croatia 1.NL

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Mladost Zdralovi 11623 131020
2 NK Croatia Zmijavci 11614 171219
3 HNK Cibalia 11542 121019
4 HNK Segesta 11533 171318
5 Orijent 11533 131118
6 Jadran LP 11452 181417
7 Bijelo Brdo 11524 141217
8 NK Kustosija 11443 111016
9 Dinamo Zagreb II 11506 171615
10 NK Opatija 11425 121514
11 Karlovac 11425 121614
12 NK Sesvete 11335 121212
13 NK Dubrava Zagreb 11335 131512
14 Hrvace 11326 111511
15 Vukovar 91 11326 162211
16 NK Dugopolje 11245 141910

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNK KustosijaOrijent
Bijelo Brdo 3-2 W 0-0 D
NK Dubrava Zagreb 2-1 W 2-1 W
Hrvace 2-1 W 0-3 L
NK Opatija 1-1 D 1-0 W
Jadran LP 0-1 L 0-1 L
NK Croatia Zmijavci 1-0 W 1-1 D
HNK Cibalia 0-0 D 0-0 D
Dinamo Zagreb II 0-1 L 3-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 2 D 2 L 3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: NK Kustosija (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Kustosija

LDLDWLDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Bijelo Brdo
Croatia 1.NL
2-2 3-2 27 W
23/10 NK Dubrava Zagreb
Croatia 1.NL
2-1 2-1 35 W
17/10 Hrvace
Croatia 1.NL
0-1 2-1 46 W
09/10 NK Opatija
Croatia 1.NL
1-0 1-1 07 D
26/09 Jadran LP
Croatia 1.NL
0-0 0-1 14 L
20/09 NK Croatia Zmijavci
Croatia 1.NL
0-0 1-0 77 W
12/09 HNK Cibalia
Croatia 1.NL
0-0 0-0 32 D
06/09 Dinamo Zagreb II
Croatia 1.NL
0-0 0-1 103 L
02/09 HNK Segesta
Croatia 1.NL
0-0 0-0 48 D
30/08 Mladost Zdralovi
Croatia 1.NL
0-0 1-2 35 L

Orijent

WDDLWLWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Vukovar 91
Croatia 1.NL
0-1 3-2 16 W
24/10 Karlovac
Croatia 1.NL
1-0 2-0 43 W
17/10 Bijelo Brdo
Croatia 1.NL
0-0 0-0 06 D
10/10 NK Dubrava Zagreb
Croatia 1.NL
0-0 2-1 35 W
26/09 Hrvace
Croatia 1.NL
0-1 0-3 43 L
19/09 NK Opatija
Croatia 1.NL
0-0 1-0 65 W
12/09 Jadran LP
Croatia 1.NL
0-1 0-1 48 L
06/09 NK Croatia Zmijavci
Croatia 1.NL
0-1 1-1 64 D
02/09 HNK Cibalia
Croatia 1.NL
0-0 0-0 53 D
29/08 Dinamo Zagreb II
Croatia 1.NL
2-0 3-0 31 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Kustosija vs Orijent?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Kustosija win (46%). Probabilities: NK Kustosija 46%, draw 29%, Orijent 25%.

How many goals are expected in NK Kustosija vs Orijent?

The model expects 2.21 goals (NK Kustosija 1.32 · Orijent 0.89), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Kustosija vs Orijent?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.