Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · 26/09, 16:30
Prediction: Juventud Torremolinos CF vs Algeciras CF
Team pages: Juventud Torremolinos CF · Algeciras CF
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.39Total
Juventud Torremolinos CF1.15
Algeciras CF1.25
1X2
Juventud Torremolinos CF
Draw
Algeciras CF
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Juventud Torremolinos CF
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Algeciras CF
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Juventud Torremolinos CF
0–1–1
Algeciras CF
(2 last)
- Algeciras CF1-0Juventud Torremolinos CF
- Juventud Torremolinos CF1-1Algeciras CF
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juventud Torremolinos CF 1436 · Algeciras CF 1494
| Juventud Torremolinos CF | Draw | Algeciras CF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 30% | 37% |
| Market | 33% | 29% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Algeciras CF (rating 1436 vs 1494).
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Juventud Torremolinos CF | Algeciras CF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.5 | 2.2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0 | 5.1 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juventud Torremolinos CF 0–1–1 Algeciras CF
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | Algeciras CF | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Juventud Torremolinos CF |
| 16/11/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | Juventud Torremolinos CF | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Algeciras CF |
Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarreal B | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Real Jaen | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Real Murcia | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 4 | Real Zaragoza | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Atletico Madrid B | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Gimnastic | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | Alcorcon | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | UD Ibiza | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | Hercules | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | FC Cartagena | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 11 | Real Madrid B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 | Antequera | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 14 | Huesca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| 15 | Rayo Majadahonda | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | UE Sant Andreu | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 17 | Juventud Torremolinos CF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
| 18 | Algeciras CF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 1 |
| 19 | CE Europa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 20 | Teruel | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Juventud Torremolinos CF | Algeciras CF |
|---|---|---|
| Hercules | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Atletico Madrid B | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| SD Tarazona | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Juventud Torremolinos CF (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juventud Torremolinos CF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Hercules Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Real Zaragoza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Real Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Atletico Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Antequera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | Real Murcia Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Marbella FC Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Atletico Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | SD Tarazona Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 19/04 | Betis Deportivo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
Algeciras CF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Aguilas Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 11/09 | Gimnastic Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 04/09 | Villarreal B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 29/08 | FC Cartagena Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Atletico Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Hercules Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Atletico Sanluqueno Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/05 | FC Cartagena Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
2-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 14 | D |
| 26/04 | Sevilla Atletico Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | SD Tarazona Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juventud Torremolinos CF vs Algeciras CF?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Algeciras CF win (38%). Probabilities: Juventud Torremolinos CF 33%, draw 29%, Algeciras CF 38%.
How many goals are expected in Juventud Torremolinos CF vs Algeciras CF?
The model expects 2.39 goals (Juventud Torremolinos CF 1.15 · Algeciras CF 1.25), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Juventud Torremolinos CF vs Algeciras CF?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.