Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · 03/10, 18:45
Prediction: Alcorcon vs Juventud Torremolinos CF
Team pages: Alcorcon · Juventud Torremolinos CF
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Alcorcon1.87
Juventud Torremolinos CF0.69
1X2
Alcorcon
Draw
Juventud Torremolinos CF
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Alcorcon
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Juventud Torremolinos CF
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Alcorcon
0–1–1
Juventud Torremolinos CF
(2 last)
- Juventud Torremolinos CF1-0Alcorcon
- Alcorcon1-1Juventud Torremolinos CF
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alcorcon 1529 · Juventud Torremolinos CF 1441
| Alcorcon | Draw | Juventud Torremolinos CF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 23% | 12% |
| Market | 65% | 22% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alcorcon (rating 1529 vs 1441).
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Alcorcon | Juventud Torremolinos CF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.9 | 1.9 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 4.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alcorcon 0–1–1 Juventud Torremolinos CF
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | Juventud Torremolinos CF | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Alcorcon |
| 20/09/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | Alcorcon | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Juventud Torremolinos CF |
Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarreal B | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Real Zaragoza | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Real Jaen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Alcorcon | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Real Murcia | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Hercules | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Atletico Madrid B | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 8 |
| 8 | Antequera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
| 9 | Gimnastic | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 10 | UE Sant Andreu | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | UD Ibiza | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 12 | Huesca | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | FC Cartagena | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 14 | Real Madrid B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 15 | Aguilas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 16 | Rayo Majadahonda | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | Algeciras CF | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 4 |
| 18 | CE Europa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| 19 | Teruel | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 2 |
| 20 | Juventud Torremolinos CF | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Alcorcon | Juventud Torremolinos CF |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid B | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Antequera | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Marbella FC | 6-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Alcorcon (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alcorcon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Real Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Gimnastic Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
3-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Antequera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | CE Europa Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 30/08 | Aguilas Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Sevilla Atletico Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Marbella FC Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
3-0 | 6-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | FC Cartagena Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | CE Europa Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 9 | L |
| 25/04 | Atletico Sanluqueno Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Juventud Torremolinos CF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Algeciras CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | Hercules Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Real Zaragoza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Real Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Atletico Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Antequera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | Real Murcia Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Marbella FC Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Atletico Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | SD Tarazona Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alcorcon vs Juventud Torremolinos CF?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Alcorcon win (65%). Probabilities: Alcorcon 65%, draw 22%, Juventud Torremolinos CF 12%.
How many goals are expected in Alcorcon vs Juventud Torremolinos CF?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Alcorcon 1.87 · Juventud Torremolinos CF 0.69), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Alcorcon vs Juventud Torremolinos CF?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.