Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · 04/10, 12:00

Prediction: Villarreal B vs UD Ibiza

Team pages: Villarreal B · UD Ibiza

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.78Total

Villarreal B1.66

UD Ibiza1.12

1X2

49% 27% 24%

Villarreal B Draw UD Ibiza

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Villarreal B 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

DWDWDWWWDW

UD Ibiza 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DWLWLLWWLL

Head-to-head

Villarreal B 1–4–1 UD Ibiza (6 last)

Villarreal B0-0UD Ibiza
UD Ibiza0-0Villarreal B
Villarreal B1-2UD Ibiza
UD Ibiza1-1Villarreal B
UD Ibiza0-0Villarreal B
Villarreal B1-0UD Ibiza

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Villarreal B 1617 · UD Ibiza 1539

	Villarreal B	Draw	UD Ibiza
Our model	49%	27%	25%
Market	48%	28%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Villarreal B (rating 1617 vs 1539).
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Villarreal B	UD Ibiza
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.9	1.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4	1.8 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.5	5.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.25

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:18 +22’	1.85	3.25	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Villarreal B 1–4–1 UD Ibiza

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	Villarreal B	0-0 HT 0-0	UD Ibiza
14/12/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	UD Ibiza	0-0 HT 0-0	Villarreal B
02/02/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	Villarreal B	1-2 HT 0-0	UD Ibiza
24/08/24 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	UD Ibiza	1-1 HT 1-0	Villarreal B
11/03/23 Spain Segunda	UD Ibiza	0-0 HT 0-0	Villarreal B
20/11/22 Spain Segunda	Villarreal B	1-0 HT 0-0	UD Ibiza

Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Villarreal B	5	4	1	0	12	5	13
2	Real Zaragoza	5	4	0	1	8	5	12
3	Real Jaen	5	3	1	1	8	5	10
4	Alcorcon	5	2	3	0	8	4	9
5	Real Murcia	4	3	0	1	8	6	9
6	Hercules	5	3	0	2	5	5	9
7	Atletico Madrid B	5	2	2	1	9	5	8
8	Antequera	5	2	2	1	8	6	8
9	Gimnastic	5	2	1	2	7	7	7
10	UE Sant Andreu	5	2	1	2	5	5	7
11	UD Ibiza	5	2	0	3	7	8	6
12	Huesca	5	1	3	1	4	6	6
13	FC Cartagena	4	1	2	1	4	3	5
14	Real Madrid B	5	1	2	2	4	4	5
15	Aguilas	5	1	2	2	4	6	5
16	Rayo Majadahonda	5	1	1	3	5	6	4
17	Algeciras CF	5	1	1	3	7	11	4
18	CE Europa	5	1	1	3	3	7	4
19	Teruel	5	0	2	3	1	8	2
20	Juventud Torremolinos CF	5	0	1	4	6	11	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Villarreal B	UD Ibiza
Antequera	2-2 D	2-3 L
Rayo Majadahonda	2-1 W	2-1 W
Atletico Sanluqueno	1-1 D	4-0 W
CE Europa	3-3 D	2-3 L
Hercules	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Villarreal B (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Villarreal B

DWDWDWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Atletico Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	3-1	4	6	W
19/09	Antequera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-1	2-2	2	4	D
13/09	Huesca Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-0	3-0	2	3	W
04/09	Algeciras CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	2-1	6	8	W
29/08	Rayo Majadahonda Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
23/05	Atletico Sanluqueno Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
16/05	Sevilla Atletico Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-0	2-0	12	4	W
10/05	CE Europa Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-1	3-3	1	3	D
03/05	Hercules Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	1-0	0	4	W
25/04	UD Ibiza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-0	5	3	D

UD Ibiza

DWLWLLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Real Zaragoza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-2	2	8	L
19/09	Real Jaen Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
12/09	UE Sant Andreu Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
05/09	Rayo Majadahonda Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	2-1	8	5	W
30/08	Antequera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-2	2-3	4	9	L
23/05	CE Europa Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-2	2-3	2	7	L
16/05	FC Cartagena Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-1	3-1	3	2	W
09/05	Hercules Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	1-2	3	8	L
03/05	Atletico Sanluqueno Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-0	4-0	2	2	W
25/04	Villarreal B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-0	4	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Villarreal B vs UD Ibiza?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Villarreal B win (49%). Probabilities: Villarreal B 49%, draw 27%, UD Ibiza 24%.

How many goals are expected in Villarreal B vs UD Ibiza?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Villarreal B 1.66 · UD Ibiza 1.12), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Villarreal B vs UD Ibiza?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.