Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · 10/10, 16:30

Prediction: Juventud Torremolinos CF vs Gimnastic

Team pages: Juventud Torremolinos CF · Gimnastic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.52Total

Juventud Torremolinos CF1.16

Gimnastic1.36

1X2

31% 29% 40%

Juventud Torremolinos CF Draw Gimnastic

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Juventud Torremolinos CF 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Gimnastic 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Juventud Torremolinos CF 1–1 Gimnastic (2 last)

Gimnastic2-0Juventud Torremolinos CF
Juventud Torremolinos CF2-0Gimnastic

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Juventud Torremolinos CF 1424 · Gimnastic 1466

	Juventud Torremolinos CF	Draw	Gimnastic
Our model	31%	29%	40%
Market	31%	28%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gimnastic (rating 1424 vs 1466).
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Juventud Torremolinos CF	Gimnastic
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.3	1.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.2	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.4	2.5 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	5.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.20

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
18:42 +3’	2.88	3.20	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Juventud Torremolinos CF 1–0–1 Gimnastic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	Gimnastic	2-0 HT 0-0	Juventud Torremolinos CF
03/01/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	Juventud Torremolinos CF	2-0 HT 1-0	Gimnastic

Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Zaragoza	6	5	0	1	12	6	15
2	Villarreal B	6	4	1	1	12	6	13
3	Alcorcon	6	3	3	0	13	4	12
4	Real Murcia	5	4	0	1	10	6	12
5	Real Jaen	6	3	2	1	8	5	11
6	Hercules	6	3	1	2	5	5	10
7	Antequera	6	2	3	1	10	8	9
8	UD Ibiza	6	3	0	3	8	8	9
9	Huesca	6	2	3	1	7	7	9
10	FC Cartagena	5	2	2	1	8	4	8
11	Atletico Madrid B	6	2	2	2	11	8	8
12	Real Madrid B	6	2	2	2	7	6	8
13	UE Sant Andreu	6	2	2	2	7	7	8
14	Gimnastic	6	2	1	3	7	9	7
15	Algeciras CF	6	2	1	3	8	11	7
16	Aguilas	6	1	2	3	5	10	5
17	Rayo Majadahonda	6	1	1	4	5	7	4
18	CE Europa	6	1	1	4	4	10	4
19	Teruel	6	0	2	4	2	12	2
20	Juventud Torremolinos CF	6	0	1	5	6	16	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Juventud Torremolinos CF	Gimnastic
Alcorcon	0-5 L	0-3 L
Algeciras CF	1-2 L	4-2 W
Hercules	0-1 L	1-1 D
Real Zaragoza	3-4 L	2-0 W
Real Murcia	1-3 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Gimnastic (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juventud Torremolinos CF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Alcorcon Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-4	0-5	0	1	L
26/09	Algeciras CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	1-2	2	6	L
20/09	Hercules Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
13/09	Real Zaragoza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-2	3-4	5	7	L
05/09	Real Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
30/08	Atletico Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	2-2	7	1	D
23/05	Antequera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-3	6	7	L
16/05	Real Murcia Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
10/05	Marbella FC Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
03/05	Atletico Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	3-1	3	5	W

Gimnastic

WLWDWDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Real Murcia Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-2	6	5	L
26/09	UE Sant Andreu Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-2	4	7	L
20/09	Alcorcon Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-3	0-3	2	5	L
11/09	Algeciras CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	3-1	4-2	3	5	W
05/09	FC Cartagena Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
30/08	Real Zaragoza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
23/05	Hercules Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
16/05	CE Europa Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	2-1	2	5	W
10/05	SD Tarazona Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-2	7	5	L
02/05	Sevilla Atletico Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	2-1	8	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juventud Torremolinos CF vs Gimnastic?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Gimnastic win (40%). Probabilities: Juventud Torremolinos CF 31%, draw 29%, Gimnastic 40%.

How many goals are expected in Juventud Torremolinos CF vs Gimnastic?

The model expects 2.52 goals (Juventud Torremolinos CF 1.16 · Gimnastic 1.36), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Juventud Torremolinos CF vs Gimnastic?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.