Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 28/07, 21:00
Prediction: Rubio Nu vs Sportivo Ameliano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.35Total
Rubio Nu1.07
Sportivo Ameliano1.28
1X2
Rubio Nu
Draw
Sportivo Ameliano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Rubio Nu
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Sportivo Ameliano
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rubio Nu
0–1–3
Sportivo Ameliano
(4 last)
- Rubio Nu1-2Sportivo Ameliano
- Sportivo Ameliano2-2Rubio Nu
- Rubio Nu0-1Sportivo Ameliano
- Sportivo Ameliano1-0Rubio Nu
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rubio Nu 1439 · Sportivo Ameliano 1518
| Rubio Nu | Draw | Sportivo Ameliano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 30% | 40% |
| Market | 30% | 30% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sportivo Ameliano (rating 1439 vs 1518).
- H2H favours Sportivo Ameliano: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rubio Nu | Sportivo Ameliano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.6 | 2.2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rubio Nu 0–1–3 Sportivo Ameliano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/03/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Rubio Nu | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Sportivo Ameliano |
| 26/01/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo Ameliano | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Rubio Nu |
| 17/10/21 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Rubio Nu | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Ameliano |
| 05/07/21 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Sportivo Ameliano | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Rubio Nu |
Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guarani Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 2 de Mayo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rubio Nu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Ameliano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Luqueno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rubio Nu | Sportivo Ameliano |
|---|---|---|
| 2 de Mayo | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Cerro Porteno | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Nacional Asuncion | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Sportivo Luqueno | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Olimpia Asuncion | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Sportivo Trinidense | 0-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Guarani Asuncion | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 2 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Sportivo Ameliano (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rubio Nu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 27/04 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 21/04 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 12/04 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 07/04 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 01/04 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Sportivo Ameliano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 11/05 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 21/04 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 10/04 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 05/04 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 01/04 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rubio Nu vs Sportivo Ameliano?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sportivo Ameliano win (40%). Probabilities: Rubio Nu 30%, draw 30%, Sportivo Ameliano 40%.
How many goals are expected in Rubio Nu vs Sportivo Ameliano?
The model expects 2.35 goals (Rubio Nu 1.07 · Sportivo Ameliano 1.28), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Rubio Nu vs Sportivo Ameliano?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.