Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 20/09, 21:00
Prediction: Olimpia Asuncion vs Sportivo San Lorenzo
Team pages: Olimpia Asuncion · Sportivo San Lorenzo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
Olimpia Asuncion1.88
Sportivo San Lorenzo0.72
1X2
Olimpia Asuncion
Draw
Sportivo San Lorenzo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Olimpia Asuncion
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Sportivo San Lorenzo
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Olimpia Asuncion
2–3–1
Sportivo San Lorenzo
(6 last)
- Sportivo San Lorenzo1-0Olimpia Asuncion
- Olimpia Asuncion1-1Sportivo San Lorenzo
- Sportivo San Lorenzo0-0Olimpia Asuncion
- Olimpia Asuncion3-1Sportivo San Lorenzo
- Sportivo San Lorenzo2-2Olimpia Asuncion
- Olimpia Asuncion4-2Sportivo San Lorenzo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Olimpia Asuncion 1536 · Sportivo San Lorenzo 1404
| Olimpia Asuncion | Draw | Sportivo San Lorenzo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 23% | 13% |
| Market | 65% | 21% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olimpia Asuncion (rating 1536 vs 1404).
- H2H favours Olimpia Asuncion: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Olimpia Asuncion | Sportivo San Lorenzo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.7 | 1.9 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Olimpia Asuncion 2–3–1 Sportivo San Lorenzo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Olimpia Asuncion |
| 08/03/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Olimpia Asuncion | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Sportivo San Lorenzo |
| 20/07/23 Paraguay Cup | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Olimpia Asuncion |
| 02/11/20 Paraguay Division Profesional | Olimpia Asuncion | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Sportivo San Lorenzo |
| 17/08/20 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Olimpia Asuncion |
| 02/02/20 Paraguay Division Profesional | Olimpia Asuncion | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo |
Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guarani Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 2 de Mayo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rubio Nu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Ameliano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Luqueno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Olimpia Asuncion | Sportivo San Lorenzo |
|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Luqueno | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Sportivo Trinidense | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Guarani Asuncion | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Recoleta | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Cerro Porteno | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Sportivo Ameliano | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| 2 de Mayo | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Rubio Nu | 5-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Nacional Asuncion | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Libertad Asuncion | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 1 D 9 L |
Better against common opponents: Olimpia Asuncion (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olimpia Asuncion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 02/09 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 08/08 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
Sportivo San Lorenzo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 01/09 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 28/08 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 24/08 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/08 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 30/07 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olimpia Asuncion vs Sportivo San Lorenzo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Olimpia Asuncion win (65%). Probabilities: Olimpia Asuncion 65%, draw 22%, Sportivo San Lorenzo 13%.
How many goals are expected in Olimpia Asuncion vs Sportivo San Lorenzo?
The model expects 2.6 goals (Olimpia Asuncion 1.88 · Sportivo San Lorenzo 0.72), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Olimpia Asuncion vs Sportivo San Lorenzo?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.