Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 08/11, 23:30
Prediction: Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Ameliano
Team pages: Sportivo Trinidense · Sportivo Ameliano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
Sportivo Trinidense1.56
Sportivo Ameliano0.96
1X2
Sportivo Trinidense
Draw
Sportivo Ameliano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Sportivo Trinidense
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Sportivo Ameliano
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportivo Trinidense
4–2–0
Sportivo Ameliano
(6 last)
- Sportivo Ameliano0-3Sportivo Trinidense
- Sportivo Ameliano1-2Sportivo Trinidense
- Sportivo Trinidense1-1Sportivo Ameliano
- Sportivo Ameliano0-0Sportivo Trinidense
- Sportivo Trinidense1-0Sportivo Ameliano
- Sportivo Ameliano0-1Sportivo Trinidense
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportivo Trinidense 1538 · Sportivo Ameliano 1437
| Sportivo Trinidense | Draw | Sportivo Ameliano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 28% | 22% |
| Market | 51% | 26% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sportivo Trinidense (rating 1538 vs 1437).
- H2H favours Sportivo Trinidense: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportivo Trinidense | Sportivo Ameliano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.5 | 1.8 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.4 | 3.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Trinidense 4–2–0 Sportivo Ameliano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo Ameliano | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Sportivo Trinidense |
| 24/05/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo Ameliano | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Sportivo Trinidense |
| 20/03/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo Trinidense | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Sportivo Ameliano |
| 26/11/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo Ameliano | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Trinidense |
| 08/09/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo Trinidense | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sportivo Ameliano |
| 05/04/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo Ameliano | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Trinidense |
Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guarani Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 2 de Mayo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rubio Nu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Ameliano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Luqueno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sportivo Trinidense | Sportivo Ameliano |
|---|---|---|
| 2 de Mayo | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Rubio Nu | 2-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Nacional Asuncion | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Libertad Asuncion | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Sportivo Luqueno | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Cerro Porteno | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Guarani Asuncion | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Recoleta | 3-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Olimpia Asuncion | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Sportivo Trinidense (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportivo Trinidense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 30/10 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-3 | 2-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 24/10 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 4 | W |
| 19/10 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 10/10 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 05/10 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 18/09 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 06/09 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
Sportivo Ameliano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 31/10 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/10 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 18/10 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 12/10 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 06/10 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 26/09 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 19/09 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 11/09 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Ameliano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sportivo Trinidense win (51%). Probabilities: Sportivo Trinidense 51%, draw 27%, Sportivo Ameliano 23%.
How many goals are expected in Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Ameliano?
The model expects 2.52 goals (Sportivo Trinidense 1.56 · Sportivo Ameliano 0.96), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Ameliano?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.