Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 07/11, 21:00
Prediction: Guarani Asuncion vs Olimpia Asuncion
Team pages: Guarani Asuncion · Olimpia Asuncion
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.22Total
Guarani Asuncion0.94
Olimpia Asuncion1.28
1X2
Guarani Asuncion
Draw
Olimpia Asuncion
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Guarani Asuncion
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Olimpia Asuncion
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Guarani Asuncion
3–1–2
Olimpia Asuncion
(6 last)
- Olimpia Asuncion1-1Guarani Asuncion
- Guarani Asuncion0-2Olimpia Asuncion
- Olimpia Asuncion2-1Guarani Asuncion
- Olimpia Asuncion1-3Guarani Asuncion
- Guarani Asuncion4-0Olimpia Asuncion
- Guarani Asuncion2-1Olimpia Asuncion
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guarani Asuncion 1541 · Olimpia Asuncion 1614
| Guarani Asuncion | Draw | Olimpia Asuncion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 31% | 43% |
| Market | 28% | 28% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olimpia Asuncion (rating 1541 vs 1614).
- H2H favours Guarani Asuncion: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guarani Asuncion | Olimpia Asuncion | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 2.2 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 1.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.5 | 2.2 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guarani Asuncion 3–1–2 Olimpia Asuncion
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Olimpia Asuncion | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Guarani Asuncion |
| 21/03/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Guarani Asuncion | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Olimpia Asuncion |
| 25/01/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Olimpia Asuncion | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Guarani Asuncion |
| 26/10/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Olimpia Asuncion | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Guarani Asuncion |
| 10/08/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Guarani Asuncion | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Olimpia Asuncion |
| 06/04/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Guarani Asuncion | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Olimpia Asuncion |
Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guarani Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 2 de Mayo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rubio Nu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Ameliano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Luqueno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guarani Asuncion | Olimpia Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Ameliano | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| 2 de Mayo | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Rubio Nu | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Nacional Asuncion | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Libertad Asuncion | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Sportivo Luqueno | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Sportivo Trinidense | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Cerro Porteno | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Deportivo Recoleta | 2-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 3 D 1 L | 8 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Olimpia Asuncion (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guarani Asuncion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 30/10 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/10 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 12/10 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/10 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 25/09 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 18/09 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 07/09 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
Olimpia Asuncion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
4-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 01/11 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 25/10 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 18/10 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 07/10 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 29/09 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 20/09 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guarani Asuncion vs Olimpia Asuncion?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Olimpia Asuncion win (44%). Probabilities: Guarani Asuncion 27%, draw 29%, Olimpia Asuncion 44%.
How many goals are expected in Guarani Asuncion vs Olimpia Asuncion?
The model expects 2.22 goals (Guarani Asuncion 0.94 · Olimpia Asuncion 1.28), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Guarani Asuncion vs Olimpia Asuncion?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.