Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 05/11, 23:00

Prediction: Rubio Nu vs Sportivo Luqueno

Team pages: Rubio Nu · Sportivo Luqueno

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.42Total

Rubio Nu1.44

Sportivo Luqueno0.98

1X2

47% 28% 25%

Rubio Nu Draw Sportivo Luqueno

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Rubio Nu 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLDWDLLW

Sportivo Luqueno 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

DLLWLLLWLL

Head-to-head

Rubio Nu 1–1–4 Sportivo Luqueno (6 last)

Sportivo Luqueno2-1Rubio Nu
Rubio Nu0-0Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Luqueno0-1Rubio Nu
Sportivo Luqueno2-1Rubio Nu
Rubio Nu0-1Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Luqueno1-0Rubio Nu

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rubio Nu 1476 · Sportivo Luqueno 1416

	Rubio Nu	Draw	Sportivo Luqueno
Our model	47%	29%	24%
Market	47%	28%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rubio Nu (rating 1476 vs 1416).
H2H favours Sportivo Luqueno: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rubio Nu	Sportivo Luqueno
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	0.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.3 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.5	3.2 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.4	4.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.25

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Pinn 1.96
X	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.56 ★
2	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.69

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:28 +1’	1.90	3.25	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:00 +5’	1.96	3.56	3.69

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rubio Nu 1–1–4 Sportivo Luqueno

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/08/26 Paraguay Division Profesional	Sportivo Luqueno	2-1 HT 1-0	Rubio Nu
03/05/26 Paraguay Division Profesional	Rubio Nu	0-0 HT 0-0	Sportivo Luqueno
02/03/26 Paraguay Division Profesional	Sportivo Luqueno	0-1 HT 0-0	Rubio Nu
17/07/22 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Sportivo Luqueno	2-1 HT 0-1	Rubio Nu
09/04/22 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Rubio Nu	0-1 HT 0-1	Sportivo Luqueno
21/08/19 Paraguay Cup	Sportivo Luqueno	1-0 HT 1-0	Rubio Nu

Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Recoleta	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cerro Porteno	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Guarani Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Olimpia Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	2 de Mayo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Libertad Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nacional Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rubio Nu	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo San Lorenzo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Ameliano	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Luqueno	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Trinidense	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rubio Nu	Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Trinidense	4-2 W	2-3 L
Guarani Asuncion	0-2 L	0-1 L
Deportivo Recoleta	0-1 L	1-0 W
Olimpia Asuncion	0-0 D	0-3 L
Sportivo Ameliano	2-1 W	1-2 L
2 de Mayo	2-2 D	2-2 D
Cerro Porteno	0-1 L	0-3 L
Nacional Asuncion	0-1 L	0-3 L
Libertad Asuncion	2-4 L	0-1 L
Sportivo San Lorenzo	3-1 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 5 L	2 W 1 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Rubio Nu (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rubio Nu

WLLLDWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional	3-0	4-2	6	4	W
23/10	Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
17/10	Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-1	4	7	L
11/10	Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
06/10	Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	2-1	5	7	W
26/09	2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	2-2	3	3	D
19/09	Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
13/09	Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
06/09	Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	1-2	2-4	5	3	L
01/09	Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	3-1	5	7	W

Sportivo Luqueno

DLLWLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-3	0-3	5	6	L
24/10	Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
19/10	Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional	1-2	3-2	7	5	W
11/10	Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional	0-2	0-3	7	4	L
05/10	Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional	1-2	2-3	7	4	L
25/09	Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
20/09	Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
13/09	Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-2	0-3	4	4	L
06/09	Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
01/09	2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	2-2	8	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rubio Nu vs Sportivo Luqueno?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rubio Nu win (47%). Probabilities: Rubio Nu 47%, draw 28%, Sportivo Luqueno 25%.

How many goals are expected in Rubio Nu vs Sportivo Luqueno?

The model expects 2.42 goals (Rubio Nu 1.44 · Sportivo Luqueno 0.98), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Rubio Nu vs Sportivo Luqueno?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.