Football · Northern Ireland Championship Women · 22/07, 20:45
Prediction: St. James Swifts (W) vs Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.61Total
St. James Swifts (W)3.31
Ballyclare Comrades (W)1.31
1X2
St. James Swifts (W)
Draw
Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Markets
Over 4.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
St. James Swifts (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Ballyclare Comrades (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
St. James Swifts (W)
3–1–0
Ballyclare Comrades (W)
(4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · St. James Swifts (W) 1568 · Ballyclare Comrades (W) 1434
| St. James Swifts (W) | Draw | Ballyclare Comrades (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 82% | 10% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.61 goals · Bet365 line 4.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours St. James Swifts (W) (rating 1568 vs 1434).
- H2H favours St. James Swifts (W): 3-1-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| St. James Swifts (W) | Ballyclare Comrades (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.3 / 1.9 | 1.4 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.5 | 1.1 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0.1 | 0.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · St. James Swifts (W) 3–1–0 Ballyclare Comrades (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/26 Northern Ireland Championship Women | Ballyclare Comrades (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | St. James Swifts (W) |
| 01/08/25 Northern Ireland Championship Women | Ballyclare Comrades (W) | 0-5 HT 0-5 | St. James Swifts (W) |
| 25/04/25 Northern Ireland Championship Women | St. James Swifts (W) | 4-2 HT 2-0 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) |
| 12/06/24 Northern Ireland Championship Women | St. James Swifts (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | St. James Swifts (W) | Ballyclare Comrades (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Sion Swifts (W) | 0-5 L | 1-3 L |
| Greenisland (W) | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Craigavon City (W) | 5-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Ballymena Utd (W) | 3-0 W | 0-5 L |
| Bangor FC (W) | 4-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Strabane Athletic (W) | 4-3 W | 1-0 W |
| Ballymoney United (W) | 5-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: St. James Swifts (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
St. James Swifts (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Sion Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 03/06 | Greenisland (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 20/05 | Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
4-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 06/05 | Bangor FC (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 29/04 | Strabane Athletic (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 4-3 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 22/04 | Ballymoney United (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 15/04 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 03/04 | Mid Ulster (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 10/09 | Sion Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
3-1 | 5-3 | 3 | 2 | W |
Ballyclare Comrades (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/07 | Sion Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/06 | Greenisland (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 22/06 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland County Antrim Shield Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 17/06 | Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 12/06 | Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland Cup Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 03/06 | Bangor FC (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 20/05 | Strabane Athletic (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | Ballymoney United (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
4-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 15/04 | St. James Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in St. James Swifts (W) vs Ballyclare Comrades (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a St. James Swifts (W) win (79%). Probabilities: St. James Swifts (W) 79%, draw 12%, Ballyclare Comrades (W) 9%.
How many goals are expected in St. James Swifts (W) vs Ballyclare Comrades (W)?
The model expects 4.61 goals (St. James Swifts (W) 3.31 · Ballyclare Comrades (W) 1.31), with a 51% chance of over 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in St. James Swifts (W) vs Ballyclare Comrades (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.