Football · England Southern Premier League South · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: Gosport Borough vs Taunton Town

Team pages: Gosport Borough · Taunton Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.77Total

Gosport Borough1.79

Taunton Town1.98

1X2

34% 24% 42%

Gosport Borough Draw Taunton Town

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Gosport Borough 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Taunton Town 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Gosport Borough 3–1–2 Taunton Town (6 last)

Gosport Borough3-1Taunton Town
Taunton Town2-3Gosport Borough
Taunton Town3-1Gosport Borough
Gosport Borough1-1Taunton Town
Gosport Borough5-1Taunton Town
Gosport Borough0-1Taunton Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gosport Borough 1493 · Taunton Town 1541

	Gosport Borough	Draw	Taunton Town
Our model	35%	23%	42%
Market	34%	24%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 3.77 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taunton Town (rating 1493 vs 1541).
H2H favours Gosport Borough: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gosport Borough	Taunton Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.8	2.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	0/67/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.8	2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.3	1.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.70

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:19 +12’	2.63	3.70	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gosport Borough 3–1–2 Taunton Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/01/26 England Southern Premier League South	Gosport Borough	3-1 HT 2-0	Taunton Town
08/11/25 England Southern Premier League South	Taunton Town	2-3	Gosport Borough
14/01/25 England Southern Premier League South	Taunton Town	3-1	Gosport Borough
11/01/25 England Southern Premier League South	Gosport Borough	1-1	Taunton Town
26/10/24 England FA Trophy	Gosport Borough	5-1	Taunton Town
26/03/22 England Southern Premier League South	Gosport Borough	0-1	Taunton Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Uxbridge	6	4	2	0	12	6	14
2	Plymouth Parkway	6	4	1	1	17	6	13
3	Hanworth Villa	6	4	1	1	11	3	13
4	Frome Town	6	4	0	2	10	4	12
5	Taunton Town	6	4	0	2	19	14	12
6	Chichester City	6	4	0	2	11	7	12
7	Chertsey Town	6	3	1	2	12	10	10
8	Berkhamsted	6	3	0	3	9	10	9
9	Poole Town	6	3	0	3	7	9	9
10	Evesham United	6	3	0	3	11	14	9
11	Bath City	6	2	2	2	6	6	8
12	Yate Town	6	2	2	2	7	9	8
13	Gosport Borough	6	2	1	3	7	7	7
14	Basingstoke	6	2	1	3	11	12	7
15	Sholing	6	2	1	3	6	9	7
16	Chippenham Town	6	2	1	3	7	12	7
17	Bracknell Town	6	2	1	3	8	14	7
18	Wimborne Town	6	1	3	2	4	4	6
19	Gloucester	6	1	2	3	8	10	5
20	Hanwell Town	6	1	2	3	4	7	5
21	Havant and W	6	1	1	4	7	12	4
22	Malvern Town	6	0	2	4	7	16	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gosport Borough	Taunton Town
Malvern Town	4-2 W	5-2 W
Uxbridge	1-1 D	4-5 L
Hanworth Villa	0-1 L	0-2 L
Yate Town	0-1 L	4-1 W
Evesham United	3-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Gosport Borough (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gosport Borough

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	1-1	4-2	7	1	W
22/08	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
12/08	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
08/08	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
25/04	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	3-6	–	–	L
21/04	Tiverton Town England Southern Premier League South	0-1	3-2	7	3	W
18/04	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
11/04	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-2	3	8	L

Taunton Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	4-1	–	–	W
29/08	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	4-3	–	–	W
22/08	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	–	4-5	–	–	L
15/08	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
11/08	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	1-1	5-2	8	1	W
08/08	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
25/04	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D
20/04	Farnham England Southern Premier League South	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
18/04	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
11/04	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gosport Borough vs Taunton Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Taunton Town win (42%). Probabilities: Gosport Borough 34%, draw 24%, Taunton Town 42%.

How many goals are expected in Gosport Borough vs Taunton Town?

The model expects 3.77 goals (Gosport Borough 1.79 · Taunton Town 1.98), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Gosport Borough vs Taunton Town?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.