Football · England Southern Premier League South · 19/09, 16:00
Prediction: Basingstoke vs Gosport Borough
Team pages: Basingstoke · Gosport Borough
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.4Total
Basingstoke1.83
Gosport Borough1.57
1X2
Basingstoke
Draw
Gosport Borough
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Basingstoke
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Gosport Borough
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Basingstoke
2–1–3
Gosport Borough
(6 last)
- Basingstoke0-3Gosport Borough
- Gosport Borough3-4Basingstoke
- Gosport Borough2-1Basingstoke
- Basingstoke0-1Gosport Borough
- Gosport Borough3-3Basingstoke
- Basingstoke3-0Gosport Borough
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Basingstoke 1489 · Gosport Borough 1515
| Basingstoke | Draw | Gosport Borough | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 24% | 32% |
| Market | 43% | 25% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.4 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Gosport Borough: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 15.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Basingstoke | Gosport Borough | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.7 | 1.9 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1 | 0.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/100/0% | 0/33/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 5 / 9 | 3.7 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Basingstoke 2–1–3 Gosport Borough
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 England Southern Premier League South | Basingstoke | 0-3 | Gosport Borough |
| 18/10/25 England Southern Premier League South | Gosport Borough | 3-4 | Basingstoke |
| 30/08/25 England FA Cup Qualification | Gosport Borough | 2-1 | Basingstoke |
| 05/04/25 England Southern Premier League South | Basingstoke | 0-1 | Gosport Borough |
| 24/08/24 England Southern Premier League South | Gosport Borough | 3-3 | Basingstoke |
| 29/03/24 England Southern Premier League South | Basingstoke | 3-0 | Gosport Borough |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uxbridge | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 | Plymouth Parkway | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Chertsey Town | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 13 |
| 4 | Hanworth Villa | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Frome Town | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Berkhamsted | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 13 |
| 7 | Taunton Town | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 12 |
| 8 | Chichester City | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
| 9 | Poole Town | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Bath City | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 11 |
| 11 | Yate Town | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| 12 | Gosport Borough | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
| 13 | Evesham United | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| 14 | Wimborne Town | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 15 | Basingstoke | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 8 |
| 16 | Sholing | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 17 | Chippenham Town | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 7 |
| 18 | Bracknell Town | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 7 |
| 19 | Gloucester | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Hanwell Town | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 21 | Havant and W | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 4 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Basingstoke | Gosport Borough |
|---|---|---|
| Taunton Town | 3-4 L | 3-1 W |
| Evesham United | 2-4 L | 3-1 W |
| Tiverton Town | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Gosport Borough (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Basingstoke
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Gloucester England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 31/08 | Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 22/08 | Bath City England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Poole Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/08 | Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Evesham United England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Tiverton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Hungerford Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Gosport Borough
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/08 | Sholing England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South |
1-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Frome Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/08 | Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Yate Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-6 | – | – | L |
| 21/04 | Tiverton Town England Southern Premier League South |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Evesham United England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Basingstoke vs Gosport Borough?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Basingstoke win (43%). Probabilities: Basingstoke 43%, draw 25%, Gosport Borough 32%.
How many goals are expected in Basingstoke vs Gosport Borough?
The model expects 3.4 goals (Basingstoke 1.83 · Gosport Borough 1.57), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Basingstoke vs Gosport Borough?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.