Football · England Southern Premier League South · 17/11, 20:45
Prediction: Poole Town vs Wimborne Town
Team pages: Poole Town · Wimborne Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Poole Town1.3
Wimborne Town1.25
1X2
Poole Town
Draw
Wimborne Town
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Poole Town
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Wimborne Town
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Poole Town
3–3
Wimborne Town
(6 last)
- Poole Town1-2Wimborne Town
- Wimborne Town0-2Poole Town
- Wimborne Town1-0Poole Town
- Poole Town1-0Wimborne Town
- Poole Town0-1Wimborne Town
- Wimborne Town2-4Poole Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Poole Town 1525 · Wimborne Town 1601
| Poole Town | Draw | Wimborne Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 29% | 34% |
| Market | 38% | 26% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wimborne Town (rating 1525 vs 1601).
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Poole Town | Wimborne Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.3 | 2.1 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/100/0% | 0/100/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4 | 2.3 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Poole Town 3–0–3 Wimborne Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/26 England Southern Premier League South | Poole Town | 1-2 | Wimborne Town |
| 27/12/25 England Southern Premier League South | Wimborne Town | 0-2 | Poole Town |
| 18/02/25 England Southern Premier League South | Wimborne Town | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Poole Town |
| 26/08/24 England Southern Premier League South | Poole Town | 1-0 | Wimborne Town |
| 23/07/22 Club Friendly List | Poole Town | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Wimborne Town |
| 18/04/22 England Southern Premier League South | Wimborne Town | 2-4 | Poole Town |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uxbridge | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 36 |
| 2 | Hanworth Villa | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 21 | 34 |
| 3 | Poole Town | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 22 | 32 |
| 4 | Plymouth Parkway | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 29 |
| 5 | Chertsey Town | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 25 | 29 |
| 6 | Bath City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 29 |
| 7 | Chichester City | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 28 |
| 8 | Taunton Town | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 40 | 26 | 25 |
| 9 | Gosport Borough | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 27 | 24 |
| 10 | Wimborne Town | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 9 | 22 |
| 11 | Frome Town | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 20 |
| 12 | Hanwell Town | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 27 | 20 |
| 13 | Basingstoke | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 33 | 19 |
| 14 | Evesham United | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 26 | 40 | 19 |
| 15 | Sholing | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 21 | 18 |
| 16 | Berkhamsted | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 18 |
| 17 | Yate Town | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 32 | 18 |
| 18 | Gloucester | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 24 | 16 |
| 19 | Chippenham Town | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 32 | 16 |
| 20 | Havant and W | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 33 | 15 |
| 21 | Bracknell Town | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 37 | 15 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 41 | 14 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Poole Town | Wimborne Town |
|---|---|---|
| Uxbridge | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Chippenham Town | 4-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Bracknell Town | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Gosport Borough | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Wimborne Town (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Poole Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 07/11 | Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/11 | Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/10 | Bath City England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 27/10 | Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 17/10 | Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/10 | Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/10 | Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 03/10 | Evesham United England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/09 | Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Wimborne Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/10 | Yate Town England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 20/10 | Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/10 | Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 10/10 | Havant and W England Southern Premier League South |
– | 6-3 | – | – | W |
| 29/09 | Yate Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/08 | Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 22/08 | Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Poole Town vs Wimborne Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Poole Town win (38%). Probabilities: Poole Town 38%, draw 27%, Wimborne Town 35%.
How many goals are expected in Poole Town vs Wimborne Town?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Poole Town 1.3 · Wimborne Town 1.25), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Poole Town vs Wimborne Town?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.