Football · England Southern Premier League South · 18/11, 20:45

Prediction: Frome Town vs Gloucester

Team pages: Frome Town · Gloucester

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

Frome Town1.49

Gloucester1.46

1X2

38% 26% 36%

Frome Town Draw Gloucester

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Frome Town 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DLDDDWLLDL

Gloucester 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LDLDWLDDWD

Head-to-head

Frome Town 0–1–1 Gloucester (2 last)

Frome Town0-0Gloucester
Gloucester2-0Frome Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Frome Town 1462 · Gloucester 1506

	Frome Town	Draw	Gloucester
Our model	37%	27%	36%
Market	38%	25%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gloucester (rating 1462 vs 1506).
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Frome Town	Gloucester
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2	1.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	33/50/17%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.5	2.7 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.60

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:40 +1’	2.35	3.60	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Frome Town 0–1–1 Gloucester

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/01/25 England Southern Premier League South	Frome Town	0-0 HT 0-0	Gloucester
15/10/24 England Southern Premier League South	Gloucester	2-0	Frome Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Uxbridge	16	11	3	2	33	14	36
2	Hanworth Villa	17	10	4	3	35	21	34
3	Poole Town	17	10	2	5	28	22	32
4	Plymouth Parkway	16	9	2	5	33	21	29
5	Chertsey Town	16	8	5	3	35	25	29
6	Bath City	16	9	2	5	21	15	29
7	Chichester City	17	9	1	7	30	28	28
8	Taunton Town	15	8	1	6	40	26	25
9	Gosport Borough	17	7	3	7	28	27	24
10	Wimborne Town	13	6	4	3	22	9	22
11	Frome Town	16	5	5	6	26	24	20
12	Hanwell Town	17	5	5	7	24	27	20
13	Basingstoke	17	5	4	8	27	33	19
14	Evesham United	18	6	1	11	26	40	19
15	Sholing	15	4	6	5	19	21	18
16	Berkhamsted	14	5	3	6	18	20	18
17	Yate Town	17	4	6	7	20	32	18
18	Gloucester	15	3	7	5	21	24	16
19	Chippenham Town	17	4	4	9	19	32	16
20	Havant and W	17	4	3	10	24	33	15
21	Bracknell Town	17	4	3	10	19	37	15
22	Malvern Town	16	4	2	10	24	41	14

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Frome Town	Gloucester
Hanworth Villa	2-3 L	3-1 W
Malvern Town	0-2 L	3-2 W
Sholing	1-1 D	0-0 D
Yate Town	3-3 D	1-1 D
Plymouth Parkway	0-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Gloucester (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Frome Town

DLDDDWLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/11	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	–	2-3	–	–	L
07/11	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D
31/10	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	–	2-3	–	–	L
17/10	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
13/10	Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
10/10	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
03/10	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-3	–	–	D
30/09	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	2-1	2-2	7	4	D
22/09	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
12/09	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D

Gloucester

LDLDWLDDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/11	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
10/11	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	2-2	3-2	7	4	W
07/11	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
31/10	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	1-0	2-2	5	2	D
27/10	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
10/10	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
29/09	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
22/09	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	1-0	2-5	5	3	L
12/09	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
31/08	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Frome Town vs Gloucester?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Frome Town win (38%). Probabilities: Frome Town 38%, draw 26%, Gloucester 36%.

How many goals are expected in Frome Town vs Gloucester?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Frome Town 1.49 · Gloucester 1.46), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Frome Town vs Gloucester?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.