Prediction: Three Bridges vs Aveley

Team pages: Three Bridges · Aveley

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.81Total
Three Bridges1.68
Aveley2.12
1X2
30% 24% 47%
Three Bridges Draw Aveley
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Three Bridges 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
LLWWLWLLLL
Aveley 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WLLWWWLDLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Three Bridges 1436 · Aveley 1505
Three BridgesDrawAveley
Our model30%22%47%
Market29%24%46%
Estimated total (ours) 3.81 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aveley (rating 1436 vs 1505).
  • High corners: 15.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Three BridgesAveley
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 2.42.3 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 1.20.9 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/33/33%29/0/71%
Corners (HT / FT)5 / 9.54 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 00.8 / 0

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Carshalton Ath 3300 619
2 Dartford 3300 639
3 Leatherhead 3210 847
4 Eastbourne Borough 3210 867
5 Dulwich 3201 936
6 Enfield Town 3201 846
7 Welling 3201 746
8 Chatham Town 3201 756
9 St Albans 3201 546
10 Burgess Hill Town 3111 544
11 Aveley 3111 554
12 Lewes 3111 244
13 Ramsgate 3102 663
14 Brentwood Town 3102 443
15 Maldon Tiptree FC 3102 283
16 Cray Wanderers 3021 232
17 Wingate & Finchley 3021 352
18 Cheshunt 3021 022
19 Whitehawk 3012 251
20 AFC Whyteleafe 3012 271
21 Stanway Rovers 3012 171
22 Three Bridges 3003 590

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Three Bridges

LLWWLWLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Chatham Town
England Isthmian Premier Division
1-3 L
11/08 Eastbourne Borough
England Isthmian Premier Division
2-3 L
08/08 Dartford
England Isthmian Premier Division
2-3 L
01/08 Gosport Borough
Club Friendly List
0-2 1-4 L
29/07 Steyning Town FC
Club Friendly List
2-0 3-2 W
21/07 Croydon Athletic
Club Friendly List
2-2 2-4 L
11/07 Egham
Club Friendly List
1-1 2-1 W
21/10 VCD Athletic
England Isthmian Division One South
1-0 2-0 64 W
05/09 Ascot Utd
England FA Trophy
0-2 0-2 135 L
30/08 Walton & Hersham
England FA Cup Qualification
0-2 L

Aveley

WLLWWWLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Whitehawk
England Isthmian Premier Division
3-2 W
11/08 Maldon Tiptree FC
England Isthmian Premier Division
0-1 L
08/08 Eastbourne Borough
England Isthmian Premier Division
2-2 D
01/08 Southend
UK Friendlies
0-1 0-4 43 L
28/07 Canvey Island
UK Friendlies
2-1 4-1 80 W
25/07 Brightlingsea Regent
UK Friendlies
1-0 5-1 70 W
18/07 Braintree Town
UK Friendlies
1-2 3-2 30 W
14/07 Ebbsfleet United
Club Friendly List
0-2 1-4 L
10/07 Leiston
UK Friendlies
1-3 2-4 61 L
07/07 Folkestone Invicta
Club Friendly List
1-2 3-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Three Bridges vs Aveley?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Aveley win (47%). Probabilities: Three Bridges 30%, draw 24%, Aveley 47%.

How many goals are expected in Three Bridges vs Aveley?

The model expects 3.81 goals (Three Bridges 1.68 · Aveley 2.12), with a 59% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Three Bridges vs Aveley?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.