Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Wingate & Finchley vs Dulwich
Team pages: Wingate & Finchley · Dulwich
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.84Total
Wingate & Finchley1.36
Dulwich1.48
1X2
Wingate & Finchley
Draw
Dulwich
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Wingate & Finchley
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Dulwich
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wingate & Finchley
2–4
Dulwich
(6 last)
- Dulwich0-3Wingate & Finchley
- Wingate & Finchley0-1Dulwich
- Dulwich2-1Wingate & Finchley
- Wingate & Finchley3-2Dulwich
- Dulwich3-0Wingate & Finchley
- Wingate & Finchley2-3Dulwich
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wingate & Finchley 1459 · Dulwich 1546
| Wingate & Finchley | Draw | Dulwich | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 27% | 39% |
| Market | 35% | 25% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dulwich (rating 1459 vs 1546).
- H2H favours Dulwich: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wingate & Finchley | Dulwich | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2 | 2.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 17/67/17% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.5 | 1 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wingate & Finchley 2–0–4 Dulwich
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/25 England Isthmian Premier Division | Dulwich | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Wingate & Finchley |
| 12/08/25 England Isthmian Premier Division | Wingate & Finchley | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Dulwich |
| 02/11/24 England Isthmian Premier Division | Dulwich | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Wingate & Finchley |
| 10/08/24 England Ryman Premier Division | Wingate & Finchley | 3-2 | Dulwich |
| 30/01/24 England Isthmian Premier Division | Dulwich | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Wingate & Finchley |
| 24/10/23 England Isthmian Premier Division | Wingate & Finchley | 2-3 | Dulwich |
Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carshalton Ath | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Dartford | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Leatherhead | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Eastbourne Borough | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 5 | Dulwich | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Enfield Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Welling | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Chatham Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | St Albans | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Burgess Hill Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Aveley | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 12 | Lewes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Ramsgate | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | Brentwood Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Maldon Tiptree FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 3 |
| 16 | Cray Wanderers | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 17 | Wingate & Finchley | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| 18 | Cheshunt | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 19 | Whitehawk | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | AFC Whyteleafe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 21 | Stanway Rovers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 22 | Three Bridges | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wingate & Finchley
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 10/08 | Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | Tonbridge Angels Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Chesham Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Hadley Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | Kingstonian UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Uxbridge Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 07/07 | Waltham Abbey Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Royston Town Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Dulwich
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/08 | Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | QPR U23 Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 28/07 | Dorking Wanderers UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 21/07 | Horsham Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/07 | Jersey Bulls Club Friendly List |
4-1 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Hashtag United England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Welling England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wingate & Finchley vs Dulwich?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Dulwich win (40%). Probabilities: Wingate & Finchley 34%, draw 26%, Dulwich 40%.
How many goals are expected in Wingate & Finchley vs Dulwich?
The model expects 2.84 goals (Wingate & Finchley 1.36 · Dulwich 1.48), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Wingate & Finchley vs Dulwich?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.