Prediction: Evesham United vs Chichester City

Team pages: Evesham United · Chichester City

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
Evesham United1.54
Chichester City1.31
1X2
42% 27% 31%
Evesham United Draw Chichester City
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Evesham United 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LDLWWLDDWL
Chichester City 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LLWDDWWDLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Evesham United 1468 · Chichester City 1507
Evesham UnitedDrawChichester City
Our model42%27%31%
Market42%26%32%
Estimated total (ours) 2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Evesham UnitedChichester City
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.61.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.60.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)43/14/43%11/44/44%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 3.51.9 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.8 / 02 / 0.1

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Frome Town 2200 606
2 Chertsey Town 2200 516
3 Uxbridge 2200 406
4 Hanworth Villa 2200 306
5 Plymouth Parkway 2110 814
6 Hanwell Town 2110 434
7 Bath City 2110 324
8 Yate Town 2110 214
9 Taunton Town 2101 543
10 Chichester City 2101 223
10 Poole Town 2101 223
10 Sholing 2101 223
13 Berkhamsted 2101 343
14 Evesham United 2101 463
15 Bracknell Town 2101 393
16 Chippenham Town 2011 131
17 Malvern Town 2011 471
18 Gloucester 2002 240
19 Gosport Borough 2002 020
20 Basingstoke 2002 360
21 Wimborne Town 2002 030
22 Havant and W 2002 040

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Evesham United

LDLWWLDDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/08 Frome Town
England Southern Premier League South
0-1 0-4 34 L
08/08 Basingstoke
England Southern Premier League South
4-2 W
31/07 Bishops Cleeve
UK Friendlies
1-1 1-1 72 D
23/07 Sporting Club Inkberrow
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-1 D
18/07 Cheltenham
UK Friendlies
0-1 0-3 10 L
14/07 Worcester City
UK Friendlies
1-0 1-0 31 W
11/07 Caerau Ely
Club Friendly List
1-0 2-0 W
07/07 Redditch
Club Friendly List
1-0 1-2 L
25/04 Taunton Town
England Southern Premier League South
0-0 D
18/04 Gosport Borough
England Southern Premier League South
1-3 L

Chichester City

LLWDDWWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/08 Wimborne Town
England Southern Premier League South
1-0 W
08/08 Poole Town
England Southern Premier League South
0-2 1-2 23 L
01/08 Bognor Regis Town
UK Friendlies
0-1 1-1 52 D
25/07 Aylesbury United
Club Friendly List
1-1 2-1 W
10/07 Christchurch
Club Friendly List
1-0 7-0 W
25/04 Brentwood Town
England Isthmian Premier Division
0-1 2-2 51 D
18/04 Dartford
England Isthmian Premier Division
1-1 2-2 42 D
11/04 Potters Bar Town
England Isthmian Premier Division
0-0 1-0 91 W
06/04 Burgess Hill Town
England Isthmian Premier Division
0-1 0-2 60 L
04/04 Welling
England Isthmian Premier Division
0-0 1-3 26 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Evesham United vs Chichester City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Evesham United win (42%). Probabilities: Evesham United 42%, draw 27%, Chichester City 31%.

How many goals are expected in Evesham United vs Chichester City?

The model expects 2.85 goals (Evesham United 1.54 · Chichester City 1.31), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Evesham United vs Chichester City?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.