Football · England Southern Premier League South · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: Evesham United vs Berkhamsted

Team pages: Evesham United · Berkhamsted

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.9Total

Evesham United1.36

Berkhamsted1.55

1X2

33% 26% 41%

Evesham United Draw Berkhamsted

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Evesham United 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Berkhamsted 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Evesham United 0–2 Berkhamsted (2 last)

Evesham United0-2Berkhamsted
Berkhamsted3-1Evesham United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Evesham United 1499 · Berkhamsted 1509

	Evesham United	Draw	Berkhamsted
Our model	32%	27%	41%
Market	33%	25%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Berkhamsted: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Evesham United	Berkhamsted
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.1	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 1	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/0/100%	33/0/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3	2.7 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.50

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
19:14 +12’	2.70	3.50	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Evesham United 0–0–2 Berkhamsted

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 England Southern Premier League South	Evesham United	0-2	Berkhamsted
14/10/25 England Southern Premier League South	Berkhamsted	3-1 HT 1-1	Evesham United

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Uxbridge	6	4	2	0	12	6	14
2	Plymouth Parkway	6	4	1	1	17	6	13
3	Hanworth Villa	6	4	1	1	11	3	13
4	Frome Town	6	4	0	2	10	4	12
5	Taunton Town	6	4	0	2	19	14	12
6	Chichester City	6	4	0	2	11	7	12
7	Chertsey Town	6	3	1	2	12	10	10
8	Berkhamsted	6	3	0	3	9	10	9
9	Poole Town	6	3	0	3	7	9	9
10	Evesham United	6	3	0	3	11	14	9
11	Bath City	6	2	2	2	6	6	8
12	Yate Town	6	2	2	2	7	9	8
13	Gosport Borough	6	2	1	3	7	7	7
14	Basingstoke	6	2	1	3	11	12	7
15	Sholing	6	2	1	3	6	9	7
16	Chippenham Town	6	2	1	3	7	12	7
17	Bracknell Town	6	2	1	3	8	14	7
18	Wimborne Town	6	1	3	2	4	4	6
19	Gloucester	6	1	2	3	8	10	5
20	Hanwell Town	6	1	2	3	4	7	5
21	Havant and W	6	1	1	4	7	12	4
22	Malvern Town	6	0	2	4	7	16	2

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Evesham United

LWLDWLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/08	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
22/08	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	–	1-4	–	–	L
15/08	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	–	3-0	–	–	W
11/08	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	0-1	0-4	3	4	L
08/08	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	4-2	–	–	W
25/04	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D
18/04	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
11/04	Walton & Hersham England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
06/04	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-3	–	–	L

Berkhamsted

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
22/08	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-3	–	–	L
15/08	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
11/08	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	0-2	1-4	3	5	L
08/08	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	1-0	2-0	5	1	W
29/04	Farnham England Southern Premier League South	0-1	1-2	3	5	L
25/04	Weymouth England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
18/04	Farnham England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
11/04	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Evesham United vs Berkhamsted?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Berkhamsted win (41%). Probabilities: Evesham United 33%, draw 26%, Berkhamsted 41%.

How many goals are expected in Evesham United vs Berkhamsted?

The model expects 2.9 goals (Evesham United 1.36 · Berkhamsted 1.55), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Evesham United vs Berkhamsted?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.