Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Cheshunt vs Burgess Hill Town
Team pages: Cheshunt · Burgess Hill Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
Cheshunt1.27
Burgess Hill Town1.24
1X2
Cheshunt
Draw
Burgess Hill Town
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Cheshunt
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Burgess Hill Town
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cheshunt
1–1–0
Burgess Hill Town
(2 last)
- Burgess Hill Town1-3Cheshunt
- Cheshunt1-1Burgess Hill Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cheshunt 1506 · Burgess Hill Town 1494
| Cheshunt | Draw | Burgess Hill Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 29% | 34% |
| Market | 38% | 26% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.51 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cheshunt | Burgess Hill Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 14/71/14% | 43/43/14% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0 / 1 | 2 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0 | 0.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cheshunt 1–1–0 Burgess Hill Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 England Isthmian Premier Division | Burgess Hill Town | 1-3 | Cheshunt |
| 06/09/25 England Isthmian Premier Division | Cheshunt | 1-1 | Burgess Hill Town |
Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carshalton Ath | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Dartford | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Leatherhead | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Eastbourne Borough | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 5 | Dulwich | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Enfield Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Welling | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Chatham Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | St Albans | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Burgess Hill Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Aveley | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 12 | Lewes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Ramsgate | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | Brentwood Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Maldon Tiptree FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 3 |
| 16 | Cray Wanderers | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 17 | Wingate & Finchley | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| 18 | Cheshunt | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 19 | Whitehawk | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | AFC Whyteleafe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 21 | Stanway Rovers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 22 | Three Bridges | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cheshunt
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/08 | Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | Berkhamsted Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/07 | Potters Bar Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Waltham Abbey Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/07 | Leyton Orient Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Ware Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/07 | Haringey Borough Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/07 | Barking Club Friendly List |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Burgess Hill Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/08 | AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Croydon Athletic UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Dover UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Broadbridge Heath Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Hassocks Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Sevenoaks Town UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Steyning Town FC Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/07 | East Grinstead Town Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cheshunt vs Burgess Hill Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cheshunt win (37%). Probabilities: Cheshunt 37%, draw 27%, Burgess Hill Town 36%.
How many goals are expected in Cheshunt vs Burgess Hill Town?
The model expects 2.51 goals (Cheshunt 1.27 · Burgess Hill Town 1.24), with a 60% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Cheshunt vs Burgess Hill Town?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.