Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 22/08, 16:00

Prediction: Leatherhead vs Maldon Tiptree FC

Team pages: Leatherhead

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.33Total
Leatherhead2.22
Maldon Tiptree FC1.11
1X2
62% 22% 17%
Leatherhead Draw Maldon Tiptree FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Leatherhead 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
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Maldon Tiptree FC 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leatherhead 1565 · Maldon Tiptree FC 1526
LeatherheadDrawMaldon Tiptree FC
Our model62%21%17%
Market61%22%17%
Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

LeatherheadMaldon Tiptree FC
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 1.61.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.60.7 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/0/50%33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)0 / 13 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2 / 05.7 / 0

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Carshalton Ath 3300 619
2 Dartford 3300 639
3 Leatherhead 3210 847
4 Eastbourne Borough 3210 867
5 Dulwich 3201 936
6 Enfield Town 3201 846
7 Welling 3201 746
8 Chatham Town 3201 756
9 St Albans 3201 546
10 Burgess Hill Town 3111 544
11 Aveley 3111 554
12 Lewes 3111 244
13 Ramsgate 3102 663
14 Brentwood Town 3102 443
15 Maldon Tiptree FC 3102 283
16 Cray Wanderers 3021 232
17 Wingate & Finchley 3021 352
18 Cheshunt 3021 022
19 Whitehawk 3012 251
20 AFC Whyteleafe 3012 271
21 Stanway Rovers 3012 171
22 Three Bridges 3003 590

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leatherhead

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Burgess Hill Town
England Isthmian Premier Division
2-2 D
11/08 Welling
England Isthmian Premier Division
4-0 4-1 13 W
08/08 Ramsgate
England Isthmian Premier Division
2-1 W
01/08 Walton & Hersham
Club Friendly List
1-0 2-1 W
25/07 Ashford Town (Middx)
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-1 D
21/07 South Park
Club Friendly List
1-0 2-4 L
18/07 Merstham
Club Friendly List
0-1 2-1 W
14/07 Abbey Rangers
Club Friendly List
1-0 3-2 W
11/07 Dorking Wanderers
UK Friendlies
1-2 3-2 11 W
07/07 Sutton Common Rovers
Club Friendly List
0-1 2-1 W

Maldon Tiptree FC

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Dartford
England Isthmian Premier Division
1-2 L
11/08 Aveley
England Isthmian Premier Division
1-0 W
08/08 Dulwich
England Isthmian Premier Division
0-6 L
25/11 Lowestoft Town
England Isthmian Division One North
0-0 1-1 116 D
02/11 Port Vale
England FA Cup
1-4 1-5 03 L
11/10 Flackwell Heath
England FA Cup Qualification
1-0 W
27/09 Waltham Abbey
England FA Cup Qualification
4-2 W
16/09 Cambridge City
England Isthmian Division One North
1-0 2-0 68 W
13/09 Stanway Rovers
England FA Cup Qualification
2-0 W
30/08 Canvey Island
England FA Cup Qualification
2-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leatherhead vs Maldon Tiptree FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Leatherhead win (62%). Probabilities: Leatherhead 62%, draw 22%, Maldon Tiptree FC 17%.

How many goals are expected in Leatherhead vs Maldon Tiptree FC?

The model expects 3.33 goals (Leatherhead 2.22 · Maldon Tiptree FC 1.11), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Leatherhead vs Maldon Tiptree FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.