Football · England Southern Premier League South · 12/08, 20:45
Prediction: Gosport Borough vs Hanworth Villa
Team pages: Gosport Borough · Hanworth Villa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.4Total
Gosport Borough1.7
Hanworth Villa1.7
1X2
Gosport Borough
Draw
Hanworth Villa
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Gosport Borough
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Hanworth Villa
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gosport Borough 1483 · Hanworth Villa 1564
| Gosport Borough | Draw | Hanworth Villa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 25% | 38% |
| Market | 38% | 25% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hanworth Villa (rating 1483 vs 1564).
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gosport Borough | Hanworth Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.1 | 2.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/25/25% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 5.7 | 2.9 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.3 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth Parkway | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Evesham United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Berkhamsted | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Frome Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Uxbridge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Bath City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Poole Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Chertsey Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Yate Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Hanwell Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Malvern Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | Chichester City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Sholing | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Gloucester | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Gosport Borough | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Chippenham Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Havant and W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Taunton Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Wimborne Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 | Bracknell Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gosport Borough
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Yate Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Three Bridges Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-6 | – | – | L |
| 21/04 | Tiverton Town England Southern Premier League South |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Evesham United England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Yate Town England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 06/04 | Havant and W England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 03/04 | Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/03 | Poole Town England Southern Premier League South |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
Hanworth Villa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Ashford Town (Middx) UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Welwyn Garden City UK Friendlies |
3-1 | 5-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 21/07 | Kingstonian UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Carshalton Ath UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | Hampton & Richmond Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Westfield England Isthmian Division One South |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 29/04 | Moneyfields England Isthmian Division One South |
3-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 28/03 | Ascot Utd England Isthmian Division One South |
1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 03/03 | Bedfont Sports England Isthmian Division One South |
0-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gosport Borough vs Hanworth Villa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gosport Borough win (38%). Probabilities: Gosport Borough 38%, draw 25%, Hanworth Villa 38%.
How many goals are expected in Gosport Borough vs Hanworth Villa?
The model expects 3.4 goals (Gosport Borough 1.7 · Hanworth Villa 1.7), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Gosport Borough vs Hanworth Villa?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.