Prediction: Bury vs Warrington Rylands

Team pages: Bury · Warrington Rylands

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
Bury1.56
Warrington Rylands0.98
1X2
50% 26% 23%
Bury Draw Warrington Rylands
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bury 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWDWWLLWDW
Warrington Rylands 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LWDLWLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bury 1542 · Warrington Rylands 1530
BuryDrawWarrington Rylands
Our model50%28%23%
Market51%25%24%
Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.2 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BuryWarrington Rylands
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 1.21.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.90.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%0/75/25%
Corners (HT / FT)4.2 / 8.80.8 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 01.4 / 0

Standings · England Northern Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Cleethorpes Town 2200 706
2 Avro FC 2200 826
3 Ashton Utd 2200 516
3 Warrington Town 2200 516
5 Ilkeston 2200 316
6 Bury 2110 324
7 Redcar Athletic 2110 104
8 Warrington Rylands 2101 313
9 Gainsborough 2101 323
9 Guiseley 2101 323
11 Curzon Ashton 2101 333
12 Alfreton Town 2101 223
13 Whitby 2101 233
14 Lancaster City 2101 243
15 Leek Town 2011 231
16 Emley AFC 2011 121
17 FC United of Manchester 2011 141
18 Hyde Utd 2011 031
19 Stockton Town 2002 020
20 Workington 2002 030
21 Quorn 2002 170
22 Bamber Bridge 2002 180

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bury

WWDWWLLWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/08 Curzon Ashton
England Northern Premier League
1-2 3-2 134 W
08/08 Redcar Athletic
England Northern Premier League
0-0 0-0 124 D
01/08 Radcliffe FC
UK Friendlies
1-1 3-1 40 W
28/07 Accrington Stanley
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-1 50 L
25/07 Morecambe
Club Friendly List
0-2 0-2 L
13/07 Elton Vale FC
Club Friendly List
1-1 2-1 W
11/07 Chorley
Club Friendly List
0-1 2-1 W
11/07 Clitheroe
Club Friendly List
1-0 2-2 D
18/04 Witton Albion
England Northern League Division One
2-1 4-1 104 W
03/04 Congleton Town
England Northern League Division One
0-1 4-1 92 W

Warrington Rylands

LWDLWLWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/08 Lancaster City
England Northern Premier League
0-0 0-1 31 L
08/08 FC United of Manchester
England Northern Premier League
3-0 W
01/08 AFC Fylde
UK Friendlies
0-0 2-0 11 W
24/07 Silsden
Club Friendly List
0-0 1-0 W
18/07 Trafford
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-2 L
11/07 Rhyl
Club Friendly List
2-2 3-2 W
04/07 Hebburn Town
UK Friendlies
0-3 0-5 20 L
04/05 Hednesford
England Northern Premier League
0-0 1-1 33 D
28/04 FC United of Manchester
England Northern Premier League
1-2 3-2 32 W
25/04 Stockton Town
England Northern Premier League
1-2 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bury vs Warrington Rylands?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bury win (50%). Probabilities: Bury 50%, draw 26%, Warrington Rylands 23%.

How many goals are expected in Bury vs Warrington Rylands?

The model expects 2.54 goals (Bury 1.56 · Warrington Rylands 0.98), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bury vs Warrington Rylands?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.