Football · England Northern Premier League · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Leek Town vs Bamber Bridge
Team pages: Leek Town · Bamber Bridge
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
Leek Town1.67
Bamber Bridge1.23
1X2
Leek Town
Draw
Bamber Bridge
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Leek Town
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Bamber Bridge
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Leek Town
2–2
Bamber Bridge
(4 last)
- Leek Town3-2Bamber Bridge
- Bamber Bridge3-2Leek Town
- Leek Town1-0Bamber Bridge
- Bamber Bridge3-1Leek Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leek Town 1519 · Bamber Bridge 1455
| Leek Town | Draw | Bamber Bridge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 26% | 27% |
| Market | 47% | 26% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leek Town (rating 1519 vs 1455).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leek Town | Bamber Bridge | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/56/0% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.1 | 0.3 / 1.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0 | 1.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leek Town 2–0–2 Bamber Bridge
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 England Northern Premier League | Leek Town | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Bamber Bridge |
| 19/08/25 England Northern Premier League | Bamber Bridge | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Leek Town |
| 05/04/25 England Northern Premier League | Leek Town | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Bamber Bridge |
| 30/11/24 England Northern Premier League | Bamber Bridge | 3-1 | Leek Town |
Standings · England Northern Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Warrington Town | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Gainsborough | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Ashton Utd | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Redcar Athletic | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Guiseley | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 7 | Bury | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Emley AFC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Hyde Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 10 | Avro FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Alfreton Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 12 | Warrington Rylands | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 13 | Ilkeston | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Whitby | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 15 | Curzon Ashton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | Bamber Bridge | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
| 17 | Lancaster City | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 3 |
| 18 | Leek Town | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 19 | Workington | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Stockton Town | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 21 | Quorn | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
| 22 | FC United of Manchester | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leek Town
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Emley AFC England Northern Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 15/08 | Stockton Town England Northern Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/08 | FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 08/08 | Whitby England Northern Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 31/07 | Runcorn Linnets UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Stalybridge UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 21/07 | Kidsgrove Ath UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Stafford Rangers Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 14/07 | Macclesfield UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 09/07 | Abbey Hulton United Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Bamber Bridge
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 15/08 | Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 11/08 | Avro FC England Northern Premier League |
0-2 | 1-6 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 28/07 | Ramsbottom United Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Lostock St Gerards FC Club Friendly List |
1-3 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 18/07 | Morecambe UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Preston UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Fleetwood Town Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Chorley Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leek Town vs Bamber Bridge?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Leek Town win (47%). Probabilities: Leek Town 47%, draw 26%, Bamber Bridge 27%.
How many goals are expected in Leek Town vs Bamber Bridge?
The model expects 2.9 goals (Leek Town 1.67 · Bamber Bridge 1.23), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Leek Town vs Bamber Bridge?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.