Prediction: Lancaster City vs Quorn
Team pages: Lancaster City · Quorn
| Lancaster City | Draw | Quorn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 25% | 28% |
| Market | 47% | 25% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lancaster City (rating 1500 vs 1449).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lancaster City | Quorn | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.9 | 1 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/33/17% | 13/38/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.7 | 1.5 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0 | 2 / 0.1 |
Standings · England Northern Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Warrington Town | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Gainsborough | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Ashton Utd | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Redcar Athletic | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Guiseley | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 7 | Bury | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Emley AFC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Hyde Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 10 | Avro FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Alfreton Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 12 | Warrington Rylands | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 13 | Ilkeston | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Whitby | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 15 | Curzon Ashton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | Bamber Bridge | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
| 17 | Lancaster City | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 3 |
| 18 | Leek Town | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 19 | Workington | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Stockton Town | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 21 | Quorn | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
| 22 | FC United of Manchester | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lancaster City | Quorn |
|---|---|---|
| Redcar Athletic | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Warrington Rylands | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lancaster City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Redcar Athletic England Northern Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Hyde Utd England Northern Premier League |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/08 | Warrington Rylands England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Fulwood Amateurs FC Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 7-2 | – | – | W |
| 21/07 | Preston U21 UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 18/07 | Charnock Richard Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Garstang FC Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Stocksbridge PS England Northern Premier League |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Stockton Town England Northern Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Quorn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Warrington Rylands England Northern Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Redcar Athletic England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 11/08 | Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 08/08 | Avro FC England Northern Premier League |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Banbury UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Harborough Town UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 14/07 | Matlock Town UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | Barwell UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Redditch England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lancaster City vs Quorn?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lancaster City win (47%). Probabilities: Lancaster City 47%, draw 25%, Quorn 28%.
How many goals are expected in Lancaster City vs Quorn?
The model expects 3.19 goals (Lancaster City 1.83 · Quorn 1.36), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Lancaster City vs Quorn?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.