Football · England Northern Premier League · 22/08, 16:00

Prediction: Ilkeston vs Cleethorpes Town

Team pages: Ilkeston · Cleethorpes Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.36Total

Ilkeston1.16

Cleethorpes Town1.2

1X2

35% 28% 37%

Ilkeston Draw Cleethorpes Town

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Ilkeston 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DWWLLWWWLL

Cleethorpes Town 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWDLWDWWDW

Head-to-head

Ilkeston 1–1–2 Cleethorpes Town (4 last)

Cleethorpes Town0-0Ilkeston
Ilkeston0-3Cleethorpes Town
Cleethorpes Town2-3Ilkeston
Cleethorpes Town2-1Ilkeston

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ilkeston 1496 · Cleethorpes Town 1573

	Ilkeston	Draw	Cleethorpes Town
Our model	34%	31%	36%
Market	36%	26%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cleethorpes Town (rating 1496 vs 1573).
H2H favours Cleethorpes Town: 2-1-1.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ilkeston	Cleethorpes Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.6	1.9 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/25/38%	33/67/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.4	2.8 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.40

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:16 +1’	2.50	3.40	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ilkeston 1–1–2 Cleethorpes Town

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
24/01/26 England Northern Premier League	Cleethorpes Town	0-0 HT 0-0	Ilkeston
16/09/25 England Northern Premier League	Ilkeston	0-3 HT 0-1	Cleethorpes Town
19/09/20 England Northern League Division One	Cleethorpes Town	2-3 HT 0-1	Ilkeston
22/12/19 England Northern League Division One	Cleethorpes Town	2-1 HT 1-0	Ilkeston

Standings · England Northern Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cleethorpes Town	4	3	1	0	10	2	10
2	Warrington Town	4	3	1	0	8	3	10
3	Gainsborough	4	3	0	1	10	3	9
4	Ashton Utd	4	3	0	1	7	2	9
5	Redcar Athletic	4	2	2	0	5	2	8
6	Guiseley	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
7	Bury	4	2	1	1	6	5	7
8	Emley AFC	4	2	1	1	5	4	7
9	Hyde Utd	4	2	1	1	3	4	7
10	Avro FC	3	2	0	1	8	5	6
11	Alfreton Town	4	2	0	2	6	4	6
12	Warrington Rylands	4	2	0	2	4	2	6
13	Ilkeston	4	2	0	2	4	5	6
13	Whitby	4	2	0	2	4	5	6
15	Curzon Ashton	4	1	1	2	6	7	4
16	Bamber Bridge	4	1	1	2	4	10	4
17	Lancaster City	4	1	0	3	4	9	3
18	Leek Town	4	0	2	2	4	6	2
19	Workington	3	0	1	2	2	5	1
20	Stockton Town	4	0	1	3	2	7	1
21	Quorn	4	0	1	3	2	9	1
22	FC United of Manchester	4	0	1	3	1	8	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ilkeston	Cleethorpes Town
Warrington Town	1-2 L	1-1 D
Whitby	0-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Cleethorpes Town (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Ilkeston

DWWLLWWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/08	Warrington Town England Northern Premier League	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
15/08	Whitby England Northern Premier League	–	0-2	–	–	L
11/08	Emley AFC England Northern Premier League	2-0	2-1	3	2	W
08/08	Stockton Town England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
28/07	Basford Utd UK Friendlies	2-1	4-1	3	2	W
18/07	Barwell Club Friendly List	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
11/07	Worksop Club Friendly List	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
03/07	Belper United FC Club Friendly List	3-1	4-2	–	–	W
25/04	FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League	–	3-2	–	–	W
21/04	Glossop North End England County Cup	0-1	2-2	7	5	D

Cleethorpes Town

DWDLWDWWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/08	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	1-1	2-1	4	6	W
15/08	Warrington Town England Northern Premier League	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/08	Quorn England Northern Premier League	1-0	5-0	8	1	W
08/08	Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
25/07	Grimsby Borough UK Friendlies	1-1	2-2	5	0	D
21/07	Club Thorne Colliery Club Friendly List	4-0	6-1	–	–	W
18/07	Harrogate Town UK Friendlies	0-0	0-1	10	0	L
11/07	Grimsby Club Friendly List	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
04/07	Beverley Town Club Friendly List	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
25/04	Whitby England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-0	8	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ilkeston vs Cleethorpes Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cleethorpes Town win (37%). Probabilities: Ilkeston 35%, draw 28%, Cleethorpes Town 37%.

How many goals are expected in Ilkeston vs Cleethorpes Town?

The model expects 2.36 goals (Ilkeston 1.16 · Cleethorpes Town 1.2), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ilkeston vs Cleethorpes Town?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.