Football · England Northern Premier League · 22/08, 16:00

Prediction: Whitby vs Warrington Town

Team pages: Whitby · Warrington Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.58Total

Whitby1.28

Warrington Town1.3

1X2

36% 28% 36%

Whitby Draw Warrington Town

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Whitby 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWDLLDWLWL

Warrington Town 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLDLLWWDW

Head-to-head

Whitby 3–3–0 Warrington Town (6 last)

Warrington Town0-2Whitby
Whitby4-0Warrington Town
Warrington Town2-2Whitby
Whitby2-1Warrington Town
Whitby1-1Warrington Town
Warrington Town0-0Whitby

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Whitby 1509 · Warrington Town 1490

	Whitby	Draw	Warrington Town
Our model	35%	29%	36%
Market	36%	27%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Whitby: 3-3-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Whitby	Warrington Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.2	1.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/33/44%	38/25/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.2	2 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.2	0.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.30

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:01 +15’	2.50	3.30	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Whitby 3–3–0 Warrington Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 England Northern Premier League	Warrington Town	0-2 HT 0-2	Whitby
16/08/25 England Northern Premier League	Whitby	4-0	Warrington Town
28/02/23 England Northern Premier League	Warrington Town	2-2 HT 1-1	Whitby
08/11/22 England Northern Premier League	Whitby	2-1	Warrington Town
29/01/22 England Northern Premier League	Whitby	1-1	Warrington Town
16/10/21 England Northern Premier League	Warrington Town	0-0	Whitby

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cleethorpes Town	4	3	1	0	10	2	10
2	Warrington Town	4	3	1	0	8	3	10
3	Gainsborough	4	3	0	1	10	3	9
4	Avro FC	4	3	0	1	12	6	9
5	Ashton Utd	4	3	0	1	7	2	9
6	Redcar Athletic	4	2	2	0	5	2	8
7	Guiseley	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
8	Bury	4	2	1	1	6	5	7
9	Emley AFC	4	2	1	1	5	4	7
10	Hyde Utd	4	2	1	1	3	4	7
11	Alfreton Town	4	2	0	2	6	4	6
12	Warrington Rylands	4	2	0	2	4	2	6
13	Ilkeston	4	2	0	2	4	5	6
13	Whitby	4	2	0	2	4	5	6
15	Curzon Ashton	4	1	1	2	6	7	4
16	Bamber Bridge	4	1	1	2	4	10	4
17	Lancaster City	4	1	0	3	4	9	3
18	Leek Town	4	0	2	2	4	6	2
19	Stockton Town	4	0	1	3	2	7	1
20	Workington	4	0	1	3	3	9	1
21	Quorn	4	0	1	3	2	9	1
22	FC United of Manchester	4	0	1	3	1	8	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Whitby	Warrington Town
Ilkeston	2-0 W	2-1 W
Guiseley	0-2 L	2-1 W
Cleethorpes Town	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Whitby

DWDLLDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/08	Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League	0-2	0-2	10	2	L
15/08	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	–	2-0	–	–	W
11/08	Guiseley England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
08/08	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	0-1	2-1	2	1	W
01/08	Guisborough Town Club Friendly List	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
21/07	Northallerton Town Club Friendly List	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
14/07	West Auckland Club Friendly List	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
10/07	Bridlington Town UK Friendlies	1-0	2-2	3	5	D
04/07	Marske United Club Friendly List	2-0	5-0	–	–	W
25/04	Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-0	4	2	D

Warrington Town

WLLDLLWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/08	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	1-0	2-1	4	3	W
15/08	Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/08	Hyde Utd England Northern Premier League	1-0	3-0	4	0	W
08/08	Guiseley England Northern Premier League	–	2-1	–	–	W
28/07	Marine UK Friendlies	0-2	1-2	5	0	L
25/07	Southport UK Friendlies	1-3	2-3	6	0	L
21/07	Macclesfield UK Friendlies	1-2	2-2	4	0	D
18/07	Chester UK Friendlies	0-0	0-2	9	0	L
14/07	Atherton Collieries Club Friendly List	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
11/07	Widnes Town Club Friendly List	1-0	4-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Whitby vs Warrington Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Whitby win (36%). Probabilities: Whitby 36%, draw 28%, Warrington Town 36%.

How many goals are expected in Whitby vs Warrington Town?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Whitby 1.28 · Warrington Town 1.3), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Whitby vs Warrington Town?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.