Prediction: Emley AFC vs Curzon Ashton

Team pages: Emley AFC · Curzon Ashton

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.39Total
Emley AFC1.08
Curzon Ashton1.31
1X2
30% 28% 42%
Emley AFC Draw Curzon Ashton
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Emley AFC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LDWLDLDWDL
Curzon Ashton 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DLWLDDDLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Emley AFC 1484 · Curzon Ashton 1470
Emley AFCDrawCurzon Ashton
Our model29%30%41%
Market31%26%43%
Estimated total (ours) 2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.7 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Emley AFCCurzon Ashton
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.41.4 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.90.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)22/44/33%40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 6.51.8 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1 / 03.4 / 0

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Cleethorpes Town 2200 706
2 Avro FC 2200 826
3 Ashton Utd 2200 516
3 Warrington Town 2200 516
5 Ilkeston 2200 316
6 Bury 2110 324
7 Redcar Athletic 2110 104
8 Warrington Rylands 2101 313
9 Gainsborough 2101 323
9 Guiseley 2101 323
11 Curzon Ashton 2101 333
12 Alfreton Town 2101 223
13 Whitby 2101 233
14 Lancaster City 2101 243
15 Leek Town 2011 231
16 Emley AFC 2011 121
17 FC United of Manchester 2011 141
18 Hyde Utd 2011 031
19 Stockton Town 2002 020
20 Workington 2002 030
21 Quorn 2002 170
22 Bamber Bridge 2002 180

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Emley AFC

LDWLDLDWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/08 Ilkeston
England Northern Premier League
0-2 1-2 112 L
08/08 Hyde Utd
England Northern Premier League
0-0 D
01/08 Pontefract Collieries
Club Friendly List
2-2 3-2 W
28/07 Ossett United
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-0 D
25/07 Mossley
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-1 20 L
21/07 Liversedge
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-1 D
18/07 Horbury Town
Club Friendly List
1-0 1-2 L
17/07 Penistone Church
Club Friendly List
2-0 3-2 W
14/07 Rotherham
Club Friendly List
1-1 1-1 D
11/07 Garforth Town
Club Friendly List
0-2 0-3 L

Curzon Ashton

DLWLDDDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/08 Bury
England Northern Premier League
2-1 2-3 04 L
08/08 Alfreton Town
England Northern Premier League
0-0 1-0 62 W
01/08 Halifax
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-1 00 L
28/07 Irlam
Club Friendly List
2-1 2-2 D
25/07 Clitheroe
UK Friendlies
1-0 1-1 90 D
25/04 Alfreton Town
England National League North
0-2 3-3 37 D
18/04 Buxton
England National League North
0-2 0-4 61 L
11/04 Chorley
England National League North
1-0 1-0 48 W
06/04 Southport
England National League North
0-1 1-3 36 L
03/04 Radcliffe FC
England National League North
0-1 3-3 73 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Emley AFC vs Curzon Ashton?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Curzon Ashton win (42%). Probabilities: Emley AFC 30%, draw 28%, Curzon Ashton 42%.

How many goals are expected in Emley AFC vs Curzon Ashton?

The model expects 2.39 goals (Emley AFC 1.08 · Curzon Ashton 1.31), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Emley AFC vs Curzon Ashton?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.