Prediction: Stockton Town vs Alfreton Town
Team pages: Stockton Town · Alfreton Town
| Stockton Town | Draw | Alfreton Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 29% | 31% |
| Market | 41% | 26% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stockton Town | Alfreton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2 | 0.7 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/57/43% | 22/33/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.5 | 2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.5 | 1.7 / 0.1 |
Standings · England Northern Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Warrington Town | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Gainsborough | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Ashton Utd | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Redcar Athletic | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Guiseley | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 7 | Bury | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Emley AFC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Hyde Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 10 | Avro FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Alfreton Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 12 | Warrington Rylands | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 13 | Ilkeston | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Whitby | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 15 | Curzon Ashton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | Bamber Bridge | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
| 17 | Lancaster City | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 3 |
| 18 | Leek Town | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 19 | Workington | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Stockton Town | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 21 | Quorn | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
| 22 | FC United of Manchester | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stockton Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Gainsborough England Northern Premier League |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Leek Town England Northern Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/08 | Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Ilkeston England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Blyth Spartans Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Darlington 1883 UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Dunston UTS Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Guisborough Town Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/04 | Hednesford England Northern Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Warrington Rylands England Northern Premier League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Alfreton Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 15/08 | Avro FC England Northern Premier League |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/08 | Gainsborough England Northern Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 08/08 | Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 28/07 | Mansfield UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Rotherham UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 17/07 | Derby UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Boston Utd UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Burton Albion UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 04/07 | Notts County UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stockton Town vs Alfreton Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Stockton Town win (40%). Probabilities: Stockton Town 40%, draw 28%, Alfreton Town 32%.
How many goals are expected in Stockton Town vs Alfreton Town?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Stockton Town 1.37 · Alfreton Town 1.19), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Stockton Town vs Alfreton Town?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

