Prediction: Stockton Town vs Alfreton Town

Team pages: Stockton Town · Alfreton Town

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Stockton Town1.37
Alfreton Town1.19
1X2
40% 28% 32%
Stockton Town Draw Alfreton Town
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Stockton Town 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
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Alfreton Town 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stockton Town 1432 · Alfreton Town 1438
Stockton TownDrawAlfreton Town
Our model40%29%31%
Market41%26%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Stockton TownAlfreton Town
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 20.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.90.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/57/43%22/33/44%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.52 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 0.51.7 / 0.1

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Cleethorpes Town 4310 10210
2 Warrington Town 4310 8310
3 Gainsborough 4301 1039
4 Ashton Utd 4301 729
5 Redcar Athletic 4220 528
6 Guiseley 4211 867
7 Bury 4211 657
8 Emley AFC 4211 547
9 Hyde Utd 4211 347
10 Avro FC 3201 856
11 Alfreton Town 4202 646
12 Warrington Rylands 4202 426
13 Ilkeston 4202 456
13 Whitby 4202 456
15 Curzon Ashton 4112 674
16 Bamber Bridge 4112 4104
17 Lancaster City 4103 493
18 Leek Town 4022 462
19 Workington 3012 251
20 Stockton Town 4013 271
21 Quorn 4013 291
22 FC United of Manchester 4013 181

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stockton Town

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/08 Gainsborough
England Northern Premier League
1-4 L
15/08 Leek Town
England Northern Premier League
1-1 D
11/08 Ashton Utd
England Northern Premier League
0-0 0-1 67 L
08/08 Ilkeston
England Northern Premier League
0-0 0-1 51 L
25/07 Blyth Spartans
Club Friendly List
0-1 0-3 L
14/07 Darlington 1883
UK Friendlies
1-1 1-3 12 L
11/07 Dunston UTS
Club Friendly List
0-2 1-3 L
04/07 Guisborough Town
Club Friendly List
1-1 2-1 W
28/04 Hednesford
England Northern Premier League
0-1 0-2 63 L
25/04 Warrington Rylands
England Northern Premier League
2-1 W

Alfreton Town

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/08 Cleethorpes Town
England Northern Premier League
1-1 1-2 56 L
15/08 Avro FC
England Northern Premier League
3-0 W
11/08 Gainsborough
England Northern Premier League
1-0 2-1 47 W
08/08 Curzon Ashton
England Northern Premier League
0-0 0-1 42 L
28/07 Mansfield
UK Friendlies
0-2 0-4 60 L
21/07 Rotherham
UK Friendlies
0-1 0-1 10 L
17/07 Derby
UK Friendlies
0-2 0-2 30 L
14/07 Boston Utd
UK Friendlies
1-0 1-2 60 L
11/07 Burton Albion
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 21 D
04/07 Notts County
UK Friendlies
0-2 0-5 50 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stockton Town vs Alfreton Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stockton Town win (40%). Probabilities: Stockton Town 40%, draw 28%, Alfreton Town 32%.

How many goals are expected in Stockton Town vs Alfreton Town?

The model expects 2.56 goals (Stockton Town 1.37 · Alfreton Town 1.19), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Stockton Town vs Alfreton Town?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.