Prediction: Alfreton Town vs Avro FC
Team pages: Alfreton Town · Avro FC
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Avro FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 25% | 36% |
| Market | 39% | 25% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Avro FC (rating 1435 vs 1557).
- High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Alfreton Town | Avro FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.1 | 3.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 44/56/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.6 | 5.2 / 8.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Standings · England Northern Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Avro FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ashton Utd | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Warrington Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Ilkeston | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Bury | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Redcar Athletic | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Warrington Rylands | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Gainsborough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Guiseley | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Curzon Ashton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Alfreton Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Whitby | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | Lancaster City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Leek Town | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Emley AFC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | FC United of Manchester | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Hyde Utd | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 19 | Stockton Town | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 | Workington | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 | Quorn | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 | Bamber Bridge | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alfreton Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Gainsborough England Northern Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 08/08 | Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 28/07 | Mansfield UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Rotherham UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 17/07 | Derby UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Boston Utd UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Burton Albion UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 04/07 | Notts County UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Curzon Ashton England National League North |
2-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 18/04 | Marine England National League North |
0-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
Avro FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League |
2-0 | 6-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Quorn England Northern Premier League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Lower Breck Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 18/07 | Halifax UK Friendlies |
2-2 | 4-3 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Droylsden Club Friendly List |
3-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Llandudno Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/04 | Lower Breck England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Darlaston Town 1874 England Northern League Division One |
8-0 | 13-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 06/04 | Trafford England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 24/03 | Kidsgrove Ath England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-3 | 12 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alfreton Town vs Avro FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Alfreton Town win (39%). Probabilities: Alfreton Town 39%, draw 25%, Avro FC 36%.
How many goals are expected in Alfreton Town vs Avro FC?
The model expects 3.28 goals (Alfreton Town 1.68 · Avro FC 1.61), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Alfreton Town vs Avro FC?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.