Prediction: Emley AFC vs Ashton Utd

Team pages: Emley AFC · Ashton Utd

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Emley AFC1.16
Ashton Utd1.15
1X2
36% 28% 35%
Emley AFC Draw Ashton Utd
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Emley AFC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WLDLDWDLWW
Ashton Utd 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DDLWWLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Emley AFC 1532 · Ashton Utd 1534
Emley AFCDrawAshton Utd
Our model35%31%34%
Market37%26%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Emley AFCAshton Utd
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.21.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.70.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/44/22%13/63/25%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 4.81.8 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)0.8 / 03.2 / 0.3

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Cleethorpes Town 4310 10210
2 Warrington Town 4310 8310
3 Gainsborough 4301 1039
4 Ashton Utd 4301 729
5 Redcar Athletic 4220 528
6 Guiseley 4211 867
7 Bury 4211 657
8 Emley AFC 4211 547
9 Hyde Utd 4211 347
10 Avro FC 3201 856
11 Alfreton Town 4202 646
12 Warrington Rylands 4202 426
13 Ilkeston 4202 456
13 Whitby 4202 456
15 Curzon Ashton 4112 674
16 Bamber Bridge 4112 4104
17 Lancaster City 4103 493
18 Leek Town 4022 462
19 Workington 3012 251
20 Stockton Town 4013 271
21 Quorn 4013 291
22 FC United of Manchester 4013 181

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Emley AFC

WLDLDWDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/08 Leek Town
England Northern Premier League
1-1 2-1 20 W
14/08 Curzon Ashton
England Northern Premier League
2-0 2-1 41 W
11/08 Ilkeston
England Northern Premier League
0-2 1-2 112 L
08/08 Hyde Utd
England Northern Premier League
0-0 D
01/08 Pontefract Collieries
Club Friendly List
2-2 3-2 W
28/07 Ossett United
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-0 D
25/07 Mossley
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-1 20 L
21/07 Liversedge
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-1 D
18/07 Horbury Town
Club Friendly List
1-0 1-2 L
17/07 Penistone Church
Club Friendly List
2-0 3-2 W

Ashton Utd

DDLWWLWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/08 Whitby
England Northern Premier League
2-0 2-0 62 W
15/08 Bamber Bridge
England Northern Premier League
0-0 0-1 35 L
11/08 Stockton Town
England Northern Premier League
0-0 1-0 37 W
08/08 Lancaster City
England Northern Premier League
4-1 W
01/08 Stalybridge
UK Friendlies
0-1 1-2 40 L
25/07 Runcorn Linnets
Club Friendly List
2-2 4-2 W
18/07 Euxton Villa
Club Friendly List
0-0 2-0 W
10/07 Buxton
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-1 22 L
25/04 Hednesford
England Northern Premier League
3-3 D
18/04 Guiseley
England Northern Premier League
0-1 1-1 35 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Emley AFC vs Ashton Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Emley AFC win (36%). Probabilities: Emley AFC 36%, draw 28%, Ashton Utd 35%.

How many goals are expected in Emley AFC vs Ashton Utd?

The model expects 2.31 goals (Emley AFC 1.16 · Ashton Utd 1.15), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Emley AFC vs Ashton Utd?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.