Prediction: Gainsborough vs Bury
Team pages: Gainsborough · Bury
| Gainsborough | Draw | Bury | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 29% | 27% |
| Market | 46% | 26% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gainsborough | Bury | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/50/25% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 2.5 | 2.8 / 8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.5 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
Standings · England Northern Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Warrington Town | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Gainsborough | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Ashton Utd | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Redcar Athletic | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Guiseley | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 7 | Bury | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Emley AFC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Hyde Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 10 | Avro FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Alfreton Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 12 | Warrington Rylands | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 13 | Ilkeston | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Whitby | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 15 | Curzon Ashton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | Bamber Bridge | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
| 17 | Lancaster City | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 3 |
| 18 | Leek Town | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 19 | Workington | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Stockton Town | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 21 | Quorn | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
| 22 | FC United of Manchester | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gainsborough
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Stockton Town England Northern Premier League |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 11/08 | Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Workington England Northern Premier League |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Bradford P A UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 28/07 | Stocksbridge PS Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Doncaster Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 21/07 | Halifax UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Basford Utd Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/07 | Lincoln Utd Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
Bury
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Guiseley England Northern Premier League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Warrington Rylands England Northern Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 11/08 | Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 13 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Redcar Athletic England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Radcliffe FC UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 28/07 | Accrington Stanley UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Morecambe Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/07 | Elton Vale FC Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Chorley Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Clitheroe Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gainsborough vs Bury?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gainsborough win (45%). Probabilities: Gainsborough 45%, draw 27%, Bury 27%.
How many goals are expected in Gainsborough vs Bury?
The model expects 2.52 goals (Gainsborough 1.45 · Bury 1.07), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Gainsborough vs Bury?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.