Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 17/10, 16:00

Prediction: Stratford Town vs Peterborough Sports

Team pages: Stratford Town · Peterborough Sports

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Stratford Town1.44

Peterborough Sports1.68

1X2

32% 25% 42%

Stratford Town Draw Peterborough Sports

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Stratford Town 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLDLLWWD

Peterborough Sports 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

LDWDWWDWWW

Head-to-head

Stratford Town 0–1–2 Peterborough Sports (3 last)

Peterborough Sports1-1Stratford Town
Stratford Town2-5Peterborough Sports
Peterborough Sports6-0Stratford Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stratford Town 1466 · Peterborough Sports 1540

	Stratford Town	Draw	Peterborough Sports
Our model	32%	26%	42%
Market	33%	25%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Peterborough Sports (rating 1466 vs 1540).
H2H favours Peterborough Sports: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stratford Town	Peterborough Sports
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.8	2.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1	1.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/67/33%	71/14/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.2	1.9 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.60

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:14 +15’	2.75	3.60	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Stratford Town 0–1–2 Peterborough Sports

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/01/22 England Southern Premier League Central	Peterborough Sports	1-1	Stratford Town
09/10/21 England Southern Premier League Central	Stratford Town	2-5 HT 1-2	Peterborough Sports
02/11/19 England Southern Premier League Central	Peterborough Sports	6-0	Stratford Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	10	9	1	0	30	11	28
2	Bury Town	11	9	0	2	19	13	27
3	Bromsgrove	11	8	2	1	20	10	26
4	Peterborough Sports	12	6	4	2	24	17	22
5	Alvechurch	11	6	3	2	18	6	21
6	Rushall Olympic	12	7	0	5	24	20	21
7	Kettering	11	5	4	2	18	9	19
8	Anstey Nomads	11	5	4	2	20	16	19
9	Needham Market	11	5	2	4	24	17	17
10	Stourbridge	11	4	4	3	14	14	16
11	Redditch	11	3	5	3	17	16	14
12	Halesowen	9	4	2	3	10	10	14
13	Leiston	10	3	3	4	17	17	12
14	Racing Club Warwick	11	2	5	4	11	14	11
15	Leamington	11	2	4	5	15	18	10
16	Bishop's Stortford	10	3	1	6	11	16	10
17	Stratford Town	11	2	4	5	11	19	10
18	Banbury	11	2	3	6	14	22	9
19	Worcester City	11	1	4	6	8	16	7
20	Hitchin	11	1	4	6	7	17	7
21	Leighton Town	10	1	2	7	13	22	5
22	Stamford	11	0	1	10	3	28	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stratford Town	Peterborough Sports
Banbury	3-2 W	4-2 W
Kettering	0-1 L	0-0 D
Needham Market	1-2 L	3-3 D
Redditch	0-0 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Peterborough Sports (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stratford Town

DLLLDLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
10/10	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/09	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	3-2	3	2	W
22/09	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	2-3	4	3	L
12/09	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L
31/08	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D
29/08	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-2	–	–	L
22/08	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	1-6	2	5	L
15/08	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-3	1-3	5	3	L
11/08	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	3	4	D

Peterborough Sports

LDWDWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	4-2	2	6	W
10/10	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
03/10	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	2-0	4-2	5	4	W
29/09	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	2-2	3	5	D
22/09	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-0	2	0	W
12/09	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-2	–	–	W
31/08	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	3-3	3	2	D
28/08	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	2-1	2	6	W
22/08	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D
15/08	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stratford Town vs Peterborough Sports?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Peterborough Sports win (42%). Probabilities: Stratford Town 32%, draw 25%, Peterborough Sports 42%.

How many goals are expected in Stratford Town vs Peterborough Sports?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Stratford Town 1.44 · Peterborough Sports 1.68), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Stratford Town vs Peterborough Sports?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.