Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 17/10, 16:00

Prediction: Bromsgrove vs Banbury

Team pages: Bromsgrove · Banbury

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.7Total

Bromsgrove1.89

Banbury0.81

1X2

62% 24% 14%

Bromsgrove Draw Banbury

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Bromsgrove 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWWDDW

Banbury 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLLDLLDLWL

Head-to-head

Bromsgrove 1–2–3 Banbury (6 last)

Banbury3-0Bromsgrove
Bromsgrove3-0Banbury
Bromsgrove1-2Banbury
Banbury0-0Bromsgrove
Banbury1-1Bromsgrove
Bromsgrove1-3Banbury

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bromsgrove 1577 · Banbury 1462

	Bromsgrove	Draw	Banbury
Our model	62%	24%	14%
Market	62%	24%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.7 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bromsgrove (rating 1577 vs 1462).
H2H favours Banbury: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bromsgrove	Banbury
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.9	1.4 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	14/71/14%	0/83/17%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 5.1	1.8 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.3	2.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.45

X3.80

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.98

2 (+1.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.45▼	Bet365 1.45
X	3.75 → 3.80▲	Bet365 3.80
2	5.00 → 6.25▲	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:24 +6’	1.55	3.75	5.00
14:19 +3’	1.45▼	3.80▲	6.25▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bromsgrove 1–2–3 Banbury

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/11/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Banbury	3-0 HT 1-0	Bromsgrove
09/09/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Bromsgrove	3-0 HT 2-0	Banbury
22/03/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Bromsgrove	1-2	Banbury
12/10/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Banbury	0-0	Bromsgrove
05/02/22 England Southern Premier League Central	Banbury	1-1	Bromsgrove
12/10/21 England Southern Premier League Central	Bromsgrove	1-3 HT 1-2	Banbury

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	10	9	1	0	30	11	28
2	Bury Town	11	9	0	2	19	13	27
3	Bromsgrove	11	8	2	1	20	10	26
4	Peterborough Sports	12	6	4	2	24	17	22
5	Alvechurch	11	6	3	2	18	6	21
6	Rushall Olympic	12	7	0	5	24	20	21
7	Kettering	11	5	4	2	18	9	19
8	Anstey Nomads	11	5	4	2	20	16	19
9	Needham Market	11	5	2	4	24	17	17
10	Stourbridge	11	4	4	3	14	14	16
11	Redditch	11	3	5	3	17	16	14
12	Halesowen	9	4	2	3	10	10	14
13	Leiston	10	3	3	4	17	17	12
14	Racing Club Warwick	11	2	5	4	11	14	11
15	Leamington	11	2	4	5	15	18	10
16	Bishop's Stortford	10	3	1	6	11	16	10
17	Stratford Town	11	2	4	5	11	19	10
18	Banbury	11	2	3	6	14	22	9
19	Worcester City	11	1	4	6	8	16	7
20	Hitchin	11	1	4	6	7	17	7
21	Leighton Town	10	1	2	7	13	22	5
22	Stamford	11	0	1	10	3	28	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bromsgrove	Banbury
Real Bedford	1-1 D	1-3 L
Stratford Town	3-2 W	2-3 L
Worcester City	1-0 W	0-0 D
Anstey Nomads	1-2 L	0-3 L
Rushall Olympic	2-1 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Bromsgrove (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bromsgrove

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	2-1	11	4	W
10/10	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/09	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
22/09	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	3-2	3	3	W
12/09	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
31/08	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
29/08	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	3-0	6	2	W
22/08	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	2-1	3	1	W
15/08	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-2	–	–	L
11/08	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-1	–	–	W

Banbury

WLLDLLDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	2-4	6	6	L
10/10	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-2	–	–	W
29/09	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	2-3	0	2	L
22/09	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
12/09	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-2	7	4	L
31/08	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-3	–	–	L
29/08	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
22/08	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-3	–	–	L
15/08	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-3	3	1	L
11/08	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	2-1	8	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bromsgrove vs Banbury?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bromsgrove win (62%). Probabilities: Bromsgrove 62%, draw 24%, Banbury 14%.

How many goals are expected in Bromsgrove vs Banbury?

The model expects 2.7 goals (Bromsgrove 1.89 · Banbury 0.81), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bromsgrove vs Banbury?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.