Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 13/10, 20:45

Prediction: Anstey Nomads vs Rushall Olympic

Team pages: Anstey Nomads · Rushall Olympic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.49Total

Anstey Nomads1.93

Rushall Olympic1.56

1X2

45% 24% 30%

Anstey Nomads Draw Rushall Olympic

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Anstey Nomads 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDWWLWWDLD

Rushall Olympic 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLWLWW

Head-to-head

Anstey Nomads 0–1 Rushall Olympic (1 last)

Rushall Olympic2-1Anstey Nomads

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Anstey Nomads 1578 · Rushall Olympic 1517

	Anstey Nomads	Draw	Rushall Olympic
Our model	46%	24%	31%
Market	45%	25%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.49 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anstey Nomads (rating 1578 vs 1517).
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Anstey Nomads	Rushall Olympic
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.4	2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.2	1.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/17/33%	50/33/17%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.7	2.8 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.60

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:31 +6’	2.00	3.60	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Anstey Nomads 0–0–1 Rushall Olympic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/09/24 England FA Cup Qualification	Rushall Olympic	2-1 HT 1-0	Anstey Nomads

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	10	9	1	0	30	11	28
2	Bury Town	10	9	0	1	19	8	27
3	Bromsgrove	10	7	2	1	18	9	23
4	Rushall Olympic	11	7	0	4	22	17	21
5	Alvechurch	10	6	2	2	17	5	20
6	Kettering	10	5	4	1	17	7	19
7	Peterborough Sports	11	5	4	2	20	15	19
8	Anstey Nomads	10	4	4	2	17	14	16
9	Needham Market	10	4	2	4	19	17	14
10	Redditch	10	3	4	3	15	14	13
11	Halesowen	8	4	1	3	9	9	13
12	Stourbridge	10	3	4	3	11	13	13
13	Leiston	10	3	3	4	17	17	12
14	Racing Club Warwick	11	2	5	4	11	14	11
15	Bishop's Stortford	10	3	1	6	11	16	10
16	Leamington	10	2	3	5	13	16	9
17	Banbury	10	2	3	5	12	18	9
18	Stratford Town	10	2	3	5	11	19	9
19	Worcester City	10	1	4	5	7	13	7
20	Hitchin	11	1	4	6	7	17	7
21	Leighton Town	10	1	2	7	13	22	5
22	Stamford	10	0	0	10	3	28	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Anstey Nomads	Rushall Olympic
Needham Market	1-1 D	5-3 W
Kettering	1-4 L	3-2 W
Alvechurch	2-2 D	0-1 L
Banbury	3-0 W	3-2 W
Peterborough Sports	1-2 L	2-4 L
Bromsgrove	2-1 W	1-2 L
Leiston	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Anstey Nomads (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Anstey Nomads

DDWWLWWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-1	7	2	D
29/09	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	1-4	1-4	1	3	L
22/09	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-2	5	5	D
12/09	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	3-2	0	7	W
31/08	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-0	–	–	W
28/08	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	1-2	4	6	L
22/08	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-0	–	–	W
15/08	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-1	–	–	W
11/08	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
08/08	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-1	5	5	D

Rushall Olympic

LWWWLLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
03/10	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	3-1	5-3	6	5	W
29/09	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
22/09	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	3-2	9	3	W
12/09	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-4	–	–	L
31/08	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	3-0	7	3	W
22/08	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-2	–	–	W
15/08	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	2-1	4	4	W
11/08	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Anstey Nomads vs Rushall Olympic?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Anstey Nomads win (45%). Probabilities: Anstey Nomads 45%, draw 24%, Rushall Olympic 30%.

How many goals are expected in Anstey Nomads vs Rushall Olympic?

The model expects 3.49 goals (Anstey Nomads 1.93 · Rushall Olympic 1.56), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Anstey Nomads vs Rushall Olympic?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.