Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 13/10, 20:45

Prediction: Bromsgrove vs Kettering

Team pages: Bromsgrove · Kettering

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.43Total

Bromsgrove1.43

Kettering1

1X2

46% 28% 26%

Bromsgrove Draw Kettering

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Bromsgrove 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWWDD

Kettering 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDWDDWWLWD

Head-to-head

Bromsgrove 2–1–3 Kettering (6 last)

Kettering1-0Bromsgrove
Bromsgrove3-0Kettering
Kettering1-2Bromsgrove
Bromsgrove1-2Kettering
Kettering1-1Bromsgrove
Bromsgrove1-2Kettering

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bromsgrove 1585 · Kettering 1555

	Bromsgrove	Draw	Kettering
Our model	46%	29%	25%
Market	47%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kettering: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bromsgrove	Kettering
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.9	1.7 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	1.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/71/0%	50/0/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.4	3.8 / 8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.1	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.40

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:01 +10’	1.91	3.40	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bromsgrove 2–1–3 Kettering

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Kettering	1-0 HT 1-0	Bromsgrove
22/11/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Bromsgrove	3-0	Kettering
25/01/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Kettering	1-2	Bromsgrove
15/10/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Bromsgrove	1-2	Kettering
30/01/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Kettering	1-1	Bromsgrove
09/09/23 England Southern Premier League Central	Bromsgrove	1-2 HT 0-2	Kettering

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	10	9	1	0	30	11	28
2	Bury Town	10	9	0	1	19	8	27
3	Bromsgrove	10	7	2	1	18	9	23
4	Rushall Olympic	11	7	0	4	22	17	21
5	Alvechurch	10	6	2	2	17	5	20
6	Kettering	10	5	4	1	17	7	19
7	Peterborough Sports	11	5	4	2	20	15	19
8	Anstey Nomads	10	4	4	2	17	14	16
9	Needham Market	10	4	2	4	19	17	14
10	Redditch	10	3	4	3	15	14	13
11	Halesowen	8	4	1	3	9	9	13
12	Stourbridge	10	3	4	3	11	13	13
13	Leiston	10	3	3	4	17	17	12
14	Racing Club Warwick	11	2	5	4	11	14	11
15	Bishop's Stortford	10	3	1	6	11	16	10
16	Leamington	10	2	3	5	13	16	9
17	Banbury	10	2	3	5	12	18	9
18	Stratford Town	10	2	3	5	11	19	9
19	Worcester City	10	1	4	5	7	13	7
20	Hitchin	11	1	4	6	7	17	7
21	Leighton Town	10	1	2	7	13	22	5
22	Stamford	10	0	0	10	3	28	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bromsgrove	Kettering
Leamington	1-1 D	1-0 W
Stratford Town	3-2 W	1-0 W
Anstey Nomads	1-2 L	4-1 W
Rushall Olympic	2-1 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Kettering (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bromsgrove

WWLWWWWWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/09	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
22/09	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	3-2	3	3	W
12/09	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
31/08	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
29/08	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	3-0	6	2	W
22/08	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	2-1	3	1	W
15/08	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-2	–	–	L
11/08	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-1	–	–	W
08/08	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	3-1	6	3	W

Kettering

WDWDDWWLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/09	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	4-1	4-1	3	3	W
22/09	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	2-3	11	3	L
12/09	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
31/08	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	5-0	8	6	W
29/08	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
22/08	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D
15/08	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
11/08	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	1-1	10	4	D
08/08	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bromsgrove vs Kettering?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bromsgrove win (46%). Probabilities: Bromsgrove 46%, draw 28%, Kettering 26%.

How many goals are expected in Bromsgrove vs Kettering?

The model expects 2.43 goals (Bromsgrove 1.43 · Kettering 1), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bromsgrove vs Kettering?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.