Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 13/10, 20:45

Prediction: Halesowen vs Alvechurch

Team pages: Halesowen · Alvechurch

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.26Total

Halesowen1.14

Alvechurch1.11

1X2

36% 29% 35%

Halesowen Draw Alvechurch

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Halesowen 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLLWWD

Alvechurch 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWDDL

Head-to-head

Halesowen 3–1–2 Alvechurch (6 last)

Halesowen2-0Alvechurch
Alvechurch1-0Halesowen
Halesowen2-2Alvechurch
Alvechurch1-0Halesowen
Halesowen1-0Alvechurch
Alvechurch0-2Halesowen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Halesowen 1536 · Alvechurch 1552

	Halesowen	Draw	Alvechurch
Our model	35%	31%	34%
Market	38%	26%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Halesowen: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Halesowen	Alvechurch
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1	1.7 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	0 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/50/25%	0/0/100%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4.5	4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.5 / 0.3	5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.40

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:25 +12’	2.40	3.40	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Halesowen 3–1–2 Alvechurch

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
18/11/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Halesowen	2-0 HT 0-0	Alvechurch
09/09/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Alvechurch	1-0 HT 1-0	Halesowen
15/02/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Halesowen	2-2	Alvechurch
14/09/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Alvechurch	1-0	Halesowen
01/04/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Halesowen	1-0	Alvechurch
05/03/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Alvechurch	0-2 HT 0-0	Halesowen

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	10	9	1	0	30	11	28
2	Bury Town	10	9	0	1	19	8	27
3	Bromsgrove	10	7	2	1	18	9	23
4	Rushall Olympic	11	7	0	4	22	17	21
5	Alvechurch	10	6	2	2	17	5	20
6	Kettering	10	5	4	1	17	7	19
7	Peterborough Sports	11	5	4	2	20	15	19
8	Anstey Nomads	10	4	4	2	17	14	16
9	Needham Market	10	4	2	4	19	17	14
10	Redditch	10	3	4	3	15	14	13
11	Halesowen	8	4	1	3	9	9	13
12	Stourbridge	10	3	4	3	11	13	13
13	Leiston	10	3	3	4	17	17	12
14	Racing Club Warwick	11	2	5	4	11	14	11
15	Bishop's Stortford	10	3	1	6	11	16	10
16	Leamington	10	2	3	5	13	16	9
17	Banbury	10	2	3	5	12	18	9
18	Stratford Town	10	2	3	5	11	19	9
19	Worcester City	10	1	4	5	7	13	7
20	Hitchin	11	1	4	6	7	17	7
21	Leighton Town	10	1	2	7	13	22	5
22	Stamford	10	0	0	10	3	28	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Halesowen	Alvechurch
Kettering	1-1 D	0-1 L
Rushall Olympic	1-0 W	1-0 W
Needham Market	1-0 W	2-0 W
Bishop's Stortford	1-0 W	3-0 W
Bury Town	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Alvechurch (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Halesowen

WLLWWLLWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/09	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
12/09	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-2	–	–	W
31/08	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	1-3	6	11	L
29/08	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
22/08	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/04	Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
25/04	AFC Sudbury England Southern Premier League Central	–	5-0	–	–	W

Alvechurch

LWWWWWWDDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/09	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D
22/09	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	2-2	5	5	D
12/09	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-0	–	–	W
31/08	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-0	–	–	W
22/08	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-0	–	–	W
15/08	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-0	–	–	W
11/08	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-1	–	–	W
08/08	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Halesowen vs Alvechurch?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Halesowen win (36%). Probabilities: Halesowen 36%, draw 29%, Alvechurch 35%.

How many goals are expected in Halesowen vs Alvechurch?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Halesowen 1.14 · Alvechurch 1.11), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Halesowen vs Alvechurch?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.