Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 13/10, 20:45
Prediction: Peterborough Sports vs Banbury
Team pages: Peterborough Sports · Banbury
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.05Total
Peterborough Sports1.82
Banbury1.24
1X2
Peterborough Sports
Draw
Banbury
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Peterborough Sports
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Banbury
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Peterborough Sports
3–1–2
Banbury
(6 last)
- Peterborough Sports1-3Banbury
- Banbury0-3Peterborough Sports
- Peterborough Sports2-0Banbury
- Banbury0-0Peterborough Sports
- Peterborough Sports3-2Banbury
- Banbury2-1Peterborough Sports
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Peterborough Sports 1529 · Banbury 1464
| Peterborough Sports | Draw | Banbury | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| Market | 50% | 25% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.05 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Peterborough Sports (rating 1529 vs 1464).
- H2H favours Peterborough Sports: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Peterborough Sports | Banbury | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 57/14/29% | 0/100/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.3 | 1.4 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Peterborough Sports 3–1–2 Banbury
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/26 England FA Trophy | Peterborough Sports | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Banbury |
| 27/02/24 England National League North | Banbury | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Peterborough Sports |
| 14/10/23 England National League North | Peterborough Sports | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Banbury |
| 10/04/23 England National League North | Banbury | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Peterborough Sports |
| 13/09/22 England National League North | Peterborough Sports | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Banbury |
| 26/02/22 England Southern Premier League Central | Banbury | 2-1 | Peterborough Sports |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 11 | 28 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Rushall Olympic | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 21 |
| 5 | Alvechurch | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Kettering | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 19 |
| 7 | Peterborough Sports | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 19 |
| 8 | Anstey Nomads | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 16 |
| 9 | Needham Market | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 14 |
| 10 | Redditch | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
| 11 | Halesowen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 13 |
| 12 | Stourbridge | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 13 |
| 13 | Leiston | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 12 |
| 14 | Racing Club Warwick | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Bishop's Stortford | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 10 |
| 16 | Leamington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 9 |
| 17 | Banbury | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 9 |
| 18 | Stratford Town | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 9 |
| 19 | Worcester City | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 7 |
| 20 | Hitchin | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 7 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 5 |
| 22 | Stamford | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 28 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Peterborough Sports | Banbury |
|---|---|---|
| Leiston | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Rushall Olympic | 4-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Anstey Nomads | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Stourbridge | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Real Bedford | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Peterborough Sports (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Peterborough Sports
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 03/10 | Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central |
2-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 29/09 | Redditch England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 22/09 | Leiston England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 12/09 | Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 31/08 | Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 28/08 | Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/08 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
Banbury
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Stamford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 29/09 | Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 22/09 | Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Leiston England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/08 | Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 11/08 | Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Peterborough Sports vs Banbury?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Peterborough Sports win (50%). Probabilities: Peterborough Sports 50%, draw 25%, Banbury 25%.
How many goals are expected in Peterborough Sports vs Banbury?
The model expects 3.05 goals (Peterborough Sports 1.82 · Banbury 1.24), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Peterborough Sports vs Banbury?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.