Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Alvechurch vs Needham Market
Team pages: Alvechurch · Needham Market
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Alvechurch1.26
Needham Market1.23
1X2
Alvechurch
Draw
Needham Market
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Alvechurch
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Needham Market
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Alvechurch
1–2–3
Needham Market
(6 last)
- Alvechurch1-1Needham Market
- Needham Market1-0Alvechurch
- Alvechurch0-3Needham Market
- Needham Market2-0Alvechurch
- Alvechurch1-1Needham Market
- Needham Market0-3Alvechurch
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alvechurch 1553 · Needham Market 1527
| Alvechurch | Draw | Needham Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 30% | 35% |
| Market | 38% | 26% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Needham Market: 3-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Alvechurch | Needham Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.1 | 1.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 13/63/25% | 44/33/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.8 | 1.8 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.7 / 0 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alvechurch 1–2–3 Needham Market
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 England Southern Premier League Central | Alvechurch | 1-1 | Needham Market |
| 29/11/25 England Southern Premier League Central | Needham Market | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Alvechurch |
| 23/12/23 England Southern Premier League Central | Alvechurch | 0-3 | Needham Market |
| 26/08/23 England Southern Premier League Central | Needham Market | 2-0 | Alvechurch |
| 07/04/23 England Southern Premier League Central | Alvechurch | 1-1 | Needham Market |
| 31/01/23 England Southern Premier League Central | Needham Market | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Alvechurch |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Bromsgrove | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Bury Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Leiston | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Banbury | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Kettering | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Stourbridge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Alvechurch | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Needham Market | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Rushall Olympic | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Anstey Nomads | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 11 | Leighton Town | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 13 | Redditch | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | Stratford Town | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Racing Club Warwick | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Leamington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Worcester City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Bishop's Stortford | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 | Peterborough Sports | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 20 | Halesowen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 | Hitchin | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 | Stamford | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alvechurch
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/07 | Kidderminster UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Cliftonville UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 21/07 | Coleshill Town UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Shepshed Dynamo Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/07 | Boldmere St Michaels UK Friendlies |
2-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | Solihull Moors UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 04/07 | Bedworth Utd Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Leiston England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
Needham Market
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/07 | Felixstowe & Walton Utd UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 21/07 | AFC Sudbury Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/07 | Walsham Le Willows Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Soham Town Rangers Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Banbury England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Quorn England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 15/04 | Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Barwell England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alvechurch vs Needham Market?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Alvechurch win (37%). Probabilities: Alvechurch 37%, draw 27%, Needham Market 36%.
How many goals are expected in Alvechurch vs Needham Market?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Alvechurch 1.26 · Needham Market 1.23), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Alvechurch vs Needham Market?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.