Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Halesowen vs Bishop's Stortford
Team pages: Halesowen · Bishop's Stortford
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.01Total
Halesowen1.92
Bishop's Stortford1.1
1X2
Halesowen
Draw
Bishop's Stortford
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Halesowen
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Bishop's Stortford
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Halesowen
2–1–1
Bishop's Stortford
(4 last)
- Bishop's Stortford1-0Halesowen
- Halesowen4-4Bishop's Stortford
- Halesowen4-0Bishop's Stortford
- Bishop's Stortford1-2Halesowen
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Halesowen 1488 · Bishop's Stortford 1438
| Halesowen | Draw | Bishop's Stortford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 24% | 20% |
| Market | 56% | 24% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.01 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Halesowen (rating 1488 vs 1438).
- H2H favours Halesowen: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Halesowen | Bishop's Stortford | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.3 | 0.8 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 1.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 43/57/0% | 29/14/57% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.8 | 0.5 / 1.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Halesowen 2–1–1 Bishop's Stortford
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 England Southern Premier League Central | Bishop's Stortford | 1-0 | Halesowen |
| 29/11/25 England Southern Premier League Central | Halesowen | 4-4 | Bishop's Stortford |
| 01/02/25 England Southern Premier League Central | Halesowen | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Bishop's Stortford |
| 19/10/24 England Southern Premier League Central | Bishop's Stortford | 1-2 | Halesowen |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Bromsgrove | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Bury Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Leiston | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Banbury | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Kettering | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Stourbridge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Alvechurch | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Needham Market | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Rushall Olympic | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Anstey Nomads | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 11 | Leighton Town | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 13 | Redditch | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | Stratford Town | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Racing Club Warwick | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Leamington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Worcester City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Bishop's Stortford | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 | Peterborough Sports | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 20 | Halesowen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 | Hitchin | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 | Stamford | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Halesowen | Bishop's Stortford |
|---|---|---|
| Stourbridge | 3-3 D | 1-1 D |
| Spalding United | 0-1 L | 0-5 L |
| Harborough Town | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Halesowen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/07 | Stourbridge UK Friendlies |
2-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 25/07 | Tamworth UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 18/07 | Kidderminster UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Wulfrunians Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/07 | Lye Town Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | AFC Sudbury England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 7 | D |
| 11/04 | Harborough Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Bishop's Stortford
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Leiston England Southern Premier League Central |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Banbury England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 31/07 | Enfield Town Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/07 | St Ives Town Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Spalding United Club Friendly List |
0-5 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Chelmsford UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Barwell England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Harborough Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 06/04 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Halesowen vs Bishop's Stortford?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Halesowen win (56%). Probabilities: Halesowen 56%, draw 24%, Bishop's Stortford 21%.
How many goals are expected in Halesowen vs Bishop's Stortford?
The model expects 3.01 goals (Halesowen 1.92 · Bishop's Stortford 1.1), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Halesowen vs Bishop's Stortford?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.