Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Hitchin vs Redditch
Team pages: Hitchin · Redditch
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
Hitchin1.18
Redditch1.45
1X2
Hitchin
Draw
Redditch
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Hitchin
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Redditch
4-6-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hitchin
2–1–3
Redditch
(6 last)
- Redditch4-0Hitchin
- Hitchin2-1Redditch
- Redditch3-0Hitchin
- Hitchin2-2Redditch
- Redditch2-1Hitchin
- Hitchin2-1Redditch
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hitchin 1494 · Redditch 1546
| Hitchin | Draw | Redditch | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 28% | 42% |
| Market | 31% | 25% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Redditch (rating 1494 vs 1546).
- H2H favours Redditch: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hitchin | Redditch | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 50/38/13% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.9 | 2.3 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hitchin 2–1–3 Redditch
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/25 England Southern Premier League Central | Redditch | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Hitchin |
| 14/01/25 England Southern Premier League Central | Hitchin | 2-1 | Redditch |
| 15/01/24 England Southern Premier League Central | Redditch | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Hitchin |
| 09/09/23 England Southern Premier League Central | Hitchin | 2-2 | Redditch |
| 01/04/23 England Southern Premier League Central | Redditch | 2-1 | Hitchin |
| 28/11/22 England Southern Premier League Central | Hitchin | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Redditch |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Bromsgrove | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Bury Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Leiston | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Banbury | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Kettering | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Stourbridge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Alvechurch | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Needham Market | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Rushall Olympic | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Anstey Nomads | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 11 | Leighton Town | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 13 | Redditch | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | Stratford Town | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Racing Club Warwick | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Leamington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Worcester City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Bishop's Stortford | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 | Peterborough Sports | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 20 | Halesowen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 | Hitchin | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 | Stamford | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hitchin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 01/08 | Royston Town Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | Dag & Red UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Luton UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 07/07 | Barnet UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/05 | Biggleswade FC England Southern League Div One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Thame Utd England Southern League Div One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 12 | D |
| 22/04 | London Lions England Southern League Div One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Milton Keynes Irish England Southern League Div One |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
Redditch
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 27/07 | Coventry United FC Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Loughborough Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 14/07 | Sporting Club Inkberrow Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Long Eaton Utd UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 07/07 | Evesham United Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Quorn England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Banbury England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 14/04 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hitchin vs Redditch?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Redditch win (43%). Probabilities: Hitchin 30%, draw 26%, Redditch 43%.
How many goals are expected in Hitchin vs Redditch?
The model expects 2.64 goals (Hitchin 1.18 · Redditch 1.45), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hitchin vs Redditch?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.