Prediction: Leighton Town vs Worcester City
Team pages: Leighton Town · Worcester City
| Leighton Town | Draw | Worcester City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 28% | 36% |
| Market | 38% | 25% | 37% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leighton Town (rating 1561 vs 1494).
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leighton Town | Worcester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 0/75/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5 | 1 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 1.5 / 0.5 |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Bromsgrove | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Bury Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Leiston | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Banbury | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Kettering | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Stourbridge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Alvechurch | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Needham Market | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Rushall Olympic | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Anstey Nomads | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 11 | Leighton Town | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 13 | Redditch | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | Stratford Town | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Racing Club Warwick | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Leamington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Worcester City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Bishop's Stortford | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 | Peterborough Sports | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 20 | Halesowen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 | Hitchin | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 | Stamford | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Leighton Town | Worcester City |
|---|---|---|
| Kettering | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Redditch | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leighton Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Redditch England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 28/07 | Biggleswade Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Wellingborough Town Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/07 | Stotfold Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/03 | Northwood England Southern League Div One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/03 | Barton Rovers England Southern League Div One |
2-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 07/03 | Biggleswade FC England Southern League Div One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 24/01 | Aylesbury United England Southern League Div One |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 13/12 | AFC Dunstable England Southern League Div One |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
Worcester City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Merthyr Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 14/07 | Evesham United UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 10/07 | Malvern Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 4-4 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | St Ives Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 06/04 | Redditch England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/03 | Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leighton Town vs Worcester City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Leighton Town win (37%). Probabilities: Leighton Town 37%, draw 26%, Worcester City 37%.
How many goals are expected in Leighton Town vs Worcester City?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Leighton Town 1.4 · Worcester City 1.39), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Leighton Town vs Worcester City?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.