Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Leiston vs Rushall Olympic
Team pages: Leiston · Rushall Olympic
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Leiston1.51
Rushall Olympic1.27
1X2
Leiston
Draw
Rushall Olympic
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Leiston
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Rushall Olympic
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Leiston
3–1–2
Rushall Olympic
(6 last)
- Leiston2-1Rushall Olympic
- Rushall Olympic0-2Leiston
- Rushall Olympic0-3Leiston
- Leiston2-4Rushall Olympic
- Leiston0-1Rushall Olympic
- Leiston2-2Rushall Olympic
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leiston 1587 · Rushall Olympic 1543
| Leiston | Draw | Rushall Olympic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 28% | 31% |
| Market | 43% | 25% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leiston (rating 1587 vs 1543).
- H2H favours Leiston: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leiston | Rushall Olympic | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.9 | 1.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 89/0/11% | 38/38/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.8 | 2.6 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 2.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leiston 3–1–2 Rushall Olympic
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04/23 England Southern Premier League Central | Leiston | 2-1 | Rushall Olympic |
| 06/12/22 England Southern Premier League Central | Rushall Olympic | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Leiston |
| 12/03/22 England Southern Premier League Central | Rushall Olympic | 0-3 | Leiston |
| 11/12/21 England Southern Premier League Central | Leiston | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Rushall Olympic |
| 19/09/20 England Southern Premier League Central | Leiston | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Rushall Olympic |
| 25/01/20 England Southern Premier League Central | Leiston | 2-2 | Rushall Olympic |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Bromsgrove | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Bury Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Leiston | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Banbury | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Kettering | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Stourbridge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Alvechurch | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Needham Market | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Rushall Olympic | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Anstey Nomads | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 11 | Leighton Town | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 13 | Redditch | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | Stratford Town | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Racing Club Warwick | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Leamington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Worcester City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Bishop's Stortford | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 | Peterborough Sports | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 20 | Halesowen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 | Hitchin | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 | Stamford | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leiston
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Lowestoft Town Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/07 | Gorleston UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 24/07 | Mulbarton Wanderers Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | Dereham Town Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/07 | Aveley UK Friendlies |
3-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 14/04 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
Rushall Olympic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Malvern Town Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Shifnal Town Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/07 | Boldmere St Michaels UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 18/07 | Sporting Khalsa Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Hebburn Town England Northern Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Morpeth Town England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Stockton Town England Northern Premier League |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 06/04 | Ilkeston England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leiston vs Rushall Olympic?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Leiston win (42%). Probabilities: Leiston 42%, draw 26%, Rushall Olympic 32%.
How many goals are expected in Leiston vs Rushall Olympic?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Leiston 1.51 · Rushall Olympic 1.27), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Leiston vs Rushall Olympic?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.