Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 24/07, 23:30
Prediction: Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
Cerro Porteno1.6
Sportivo Trinidense0.77
1X2
Cerro Porteno
Draw
Sportivo Trinidense
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Cerro Porteno
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Sportivo Trinidense
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cerro Porteno
2–1–3
Sportivo Trinidense
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cerro Porteno 1540 · Sportivo Trinidense 1525
| Cerro Porteno | Draw | Sportivo Trinidense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 27% | 17% |
| Market | 57% | 25% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sportivo Trinidense: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cerro Porteno | Sportivo Trinidense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 1.7 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/56/22% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.5 | 1.7 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cerro Porteno 2–1–3 Sportivo Trinidense
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo Trinidense | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Cerro Porteno |
| 15/03/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Cerro Porteno | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Sportivo Trinidense |
| 09/11/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo Trinidense | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cerro Porteno |
| 24/08/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Cerro Porteno | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Sportivo Trinidense |
| 21/04/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Cerro Porteno | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sportivo Trinidense |
| 09/02/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo Trinidense | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Cerro Porteno |
Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guarani Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 2 de Mayo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rubio Nu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Ameliano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Luqueno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cerro Porteno | Sportivo Trinidense |
|---|---|---|
| Rubio Nu | 2-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Guarani Asuncion | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Sportivo Ameliano | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Olimpia Asuncion | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Sportivo Trinidense (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cerro Porteno
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05 | Sporting Cristal Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | Palmeiras Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 12/05 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 30/04 | Palmeiras Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
– | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 15/04 | Junior Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Sportivo Trinidense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 17/04 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/04 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 07/04 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
3-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 02/04 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 30/03 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cerro Porteno win (56%). Probabilities: Cerro Porteno 56%, draw 26%, Sportivo Trinidense 17%.
How many goals are expected in Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense?
The model expects 2.37 goals (Cerro Porteno 1.6 · Sportivo Trinidense 0.77), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.