Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 26/07, 21:00

Prediction: Bolivar SC vs Mineros

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.04Total

Bolivar SC1.34

Mineros0.7

1X2

52% 29% 19%

Bolivar SC Draw Mineros

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Bolivar SC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLWDLWLDWD

Mineros 0-6-4 (W-D-L)

DDLDDLLLDD

Head-to-head

Bolivar SC 2–2–2 Mineros (6 last)

Mineros1-1Bolivar SC
Mineros2-3Bolivar SC
Bolivar SC1-0Mineros

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bolivar SC 1512 · Mineros 1441

	Bolivar SC	Draw	Mineros
Our model	51%	31%	18%
Market	53%	28%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.04 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bolivar SC (rating 1512 vs 1441).
Cards-heavy: 12.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bolivar SC	Mineros
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1	0.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.2	2.1 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.7 / 0.6	6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.25

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
18:21 +2’	1.70	3.25	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bolivar SC 2–2–2 Mineros

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/06/26 Venezuela Cup	Mineros	1-1 HT 0-1	Bolivar SC
25/04/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Mineros	2-3 HT 0-1	Bolivar SC
01/03/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Bolivar SC	1-0 HT 0-0	Mineros
31/08/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Bolivar SC	0-0 HT 0-0	Mineros
13/07/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Mineros	1-0 HT 0-0	Bolivar SC
25/06/25 Venezuela Cup	Mineros	5-0 HT 3-0	Bolivar SC

Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Monagas II	14	8	3	3	20	13	27
2	Deportivo Miranda FC	14	6	4	4	10	8	22
3	Bolivar SC	14	6	3	5	14	14	21
4	CS Maritimo de La Guaira	14	5	5	4	16	13	20
5	Dynamo Puerto FC	14	5	5	4	16	14	20
6	Aragua	14	5	5	4	12	10	20
7	Atletico Avila	14	1	9	4	8	13	12
8	Mineros	14	0	6	8	9	20	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bolivar SC	Mineros
Deportivo Miranda FC	2-0 W	0-2 L
Atletico Avila	0-0 D	1-1 D
CS Maritimo de La Guaira	1-2 L	0-1 L
Monagas II	2-1 W	2-2 D
Dynamo Puerto FC	0-1 L	0-0 D
Aragua	0-0 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	0 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Bolivar SC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Bolivar SC

DLWDLWLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/06	Mineros Venezuela Cup	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
06/06	Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-0	4	5	W
31/05	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
23/05	CS Maritimo de La Guaira Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
17/05	Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	2-1	2	9	W
10/05	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-1	2	10	L
03/05	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	3	9	D
25/04	Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	3-2	4	6	W
12/04	Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-1	2	8	L
05/04	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	2-2	2-2	6	8	D

Mineros

DDLDDLLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/06	Bolivar SC Venezuela Cup	0-1	1-1	4	6	D
07/06	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
30/05	CS Maritimo de La Guaira Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-1	3	9	L
23/05	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	0-2	0-2	5	7	L
16/05	Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-2	7	4	L
09/05	Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-2	1	5	D
03/05	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
25/04	Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	2-3	7	6	L
11/04	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
04/04	CS Maritimo de La Guaira Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-1	10	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bolivar SC vs Mineros?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bolivar SC win (52%). Probabilities: Bolivar SC 52%, draw 29%, Mineros 19%.

How many goals are expected in Bolivar SC vs Mineros?

The model expects 2.04 goals (Bolivar SC 1.34 · Mineros 0.7), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Bolivar SC vs Mineros?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.