Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 26/07, 22:00

Prediction: Dynamo Puerto FC vs Monagas II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

Dynamo Puerto FC1.47

Monagas II1.06

1X2

45% 29% 26%

Dynamo Puerto FC Draw Monagas II

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Dynamo Puerto FC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DWLDWDDLLL

Monagas II 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWDDLWWW

Head-to-head

Dynamo Puerto FC 3–3 Monagas II (6 last)

Monagas II3-2Dynamo Puerto FC
Dynamo Puerto FC2-1Monagas II
Dynamo Puerto FC2-1Monagas II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dynamo Puerto FC 1487 · Monagas II 1547

	Dynamo Puerto FC	Draw	Monagas II
Our model	45%	29%	26%
Market	45%	29%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Monagas II (rating 1487 vs 1547).
Cards-heavy: 13.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dynamo Puerto FC	Monagas II
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.4	1.6 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.3	1.7 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	7.2 / 0	6.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.10

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.05

2 (+0.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 21.82

Under 21.98

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:02 +3’	2.00	3.10	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dynamo Puerto FC 3–0–3 Monagas II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Monagas II	3-2 HT 2-1	Dynamo Puerto FC
01/03/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Dynamo Puerto FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Monagas II
03/09/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Dynamo Puerto FC	2-1 HT 0-0	Monagas II
20/07/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Monagas II	2-1 HT 1-0	Dynamo Puerto FC
18/05/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Dynamo Puerto FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Monagas II
07/04/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Monagas II	1-2 HT 1-2	Dynamo Puerto FC

Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Monagas II	14	8	3	3	20	13	27
2	Deportivo Miranda FC	14	6	4	4	10	8	22
3	Bolivar SC	14	6	3	5	14	14	21
4	CS Maritimo de La Guaira	14	5	5	4	16	13	20
5	Dynamo Puerto FC	14	5	5	4	16	14	20
6	Aragua	14	5	5	4	12	10	20
7	Atletico Avila	14	1	9	4	8	13	12
8	Mineros	14	0	6	8	9	20	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dynamo Puerto FC	Monagas II
CS Maritimo de La Guaira	1-2 L	2-2 D
Aragua	1-2 L	2-1 W
Deportivo Miranda FC	1-1 D	2-0 W
Atletico Avila	0-0 D	2-0 W
Bolivar SC	1-0 W	1-2 L
Mineros	0-0 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Monagas II (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Dynamo Puerto FC

DWLDWDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/06	Monagas Venezuela Cup	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
06/06	CS Maritimo de La Guaira Venezuela Segunda Division	0-2	1-2	1	9	L
31/05	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	5	8	L
24/05	Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	1-1	2	11	D
17/05	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
10/05	Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	4	10	W
03/05	Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
26/04	Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-2	2-3	2	5	L
12/04	CS Maritimo de La Guaira Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	2-1	3	5	W
04/04	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	1-1	5	5	D

Monagas II

WDWWDDLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/06	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-1	3	8	W
31/05	Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-0	6	7	W
22/05	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
17/05	Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	1-2	4	9	L
09/05	Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	2-2	3	5	D
02/05	CS Maritimo de La Guaira Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-2	0	7	D
26/04	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	2-1	3-2	5	5	W
12/04	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	1	9	W
05/04	Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
29/03	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	1-0	6	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dynamo Puerto FC vs Monagas II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dynamo Puerto FC win (45%). Probabilities: Dynamo Puerto FC 45%, draw 29%, Monagas II 26%.

How many goals are expected in Dynamo Puerto FC vs Monagas II?

The model expects 2.54 goals (Dynamo Puerto FC 1.47 · Monagas II 1.06), with a 57% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Dynamo Puerto FC vs Monagas II?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.