Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 25/07, 21:30
Prediction: Real Frontera vs Urena SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Real Frontera0.91
Urena SC1.41
1X2
Real Frontera
Draw
Urena SC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Real Frontera
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Urena SC
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Real Frontera
3–1–2
Urena SC
(6 last)
- Urena SC2-1Real Frontera
- Real Frontera1-1Urena SC
- Real Frontera2-1Urena SC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real Frontera 1431 · Urena SC 1555
| Real Frontera | Draw | Urena SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 30% | 47% |
| Market | 24% | 27% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Urena SC (rating 1431 vs 1555).
- H2H favours Real Frontera: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Frontera | Urena SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/90/10% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.9 | 1.6 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Frontera 3–1–2 Urena SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Urena SC | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Real Frontera |
| 21/02/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Real Frontera | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Urena SC |
| 30/08/25 Venezuela Segunda Division | Real Frontera | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Urena SC |
| 13/07/25 Venezuela Segunda Division | Urena SC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Real Frontera |
| 09/07/25 Venezuela Cup | Real Frontera | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Urena SC |
| 04/06/25 Venezuela Cup | Urena SC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Real Frontera |
Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-West
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Lara | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 32 |
| 2 | Barquisimeto | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 13 | 31 |
| 3 | Urena SC | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 15 | 30 |
| 4 | Zamora II | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 24 |
| 5 | Yaracuyanos | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 18 | 24 |
| 6 | Academia Puerto Cabello II | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
| 7 | Atletico Barinas | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 32 | 20 |
| 8 | Real Frontera | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 11 |
| 9 | Atletico El Vigia | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 35 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real Frontera | Urena SC |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Barinas | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Barquisimeto | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Zamora II | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Academia Puerto Cabello II | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| CD Lara | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Yaracuyanos | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Atletico El Vigia | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Urena SC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Frontera
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Atletico Barinas Venezuela Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 30/05 | Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division |
2-2 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 11/04 | Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 9 | L |
Urena SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | CD Lara Venezuela Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/05 | Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 19/04 | Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 12/04 | CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Frontera vs Urena SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Urena SC win (48%). Probabilities: Real Frontera 24%, draw 28%, Urena SC 48%.
How many goals are expected in Real Frontera vs Urena SC?
The model expects 2.32 goals (Real Frontera 0.91 · Urena SC 1.41), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Frontera vs Urena SC?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.